Macro & Fed Prediction Markets
Fed cuts 2026 staggers near zero as markets reprice on data
On [date], the United States crushed Paraguay 4-1 in the World Cup opener, while Polymarket traders reprice the Fed rate-cut ladder for 2026 as odds drift.
Fed Cuts in 2026: Market Bets Lean No-Change
In Aspen this week, a Fortune profile discusses Steve Case’s optimism on AI growth and worries about job disruption, framing a balance between innovation and employment.
Crypto selloff lifts World Cup prop bets on Mbappe lead
Bitcoin and ether slid this week, marking one of the worst weekly drawdowns since the FTX collapse.
Fed decision odds shift as markets price no-change ahead of July meeting
Bitcoin hovered near $67k after a session low around $66,948, with macro softness and sector selling weighing on prices.
Bitwise Bitcoin view nudges Mbappe-led World Cup market
On June 2, 2026, Bitcoin’s valuation debate centers on a Bitwise model imagining a $224,000 fair value amid rising debt concerns and bond-market stress.
Fed Decision in June: Odds Narrow as No-Change Remains Leader
May ISM data showed U.S. manufacturing expanding at the strongest pace in four years, despite supply strains and rising costs.
Fed rate-cut odds rise as traders price fewer easing moves in 2026
On Tuesday, markets show investors pricing in a range of easing paths for 2026 as inflation and growth clouds persist.