US strikes Iran, Polymarket invasion odds rise to 14.5%
Early Wednesday, the U.S. launched dozens of strikes on Iran after attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, rattling markets and raising escalation fears.
Gaza strike report fails to move Polymarket, RFK Jr holds 49% for 2028 GOP
A report said an Israeli strike in Gaza killed an organizer of a World Cup public screening just before kickoff. Polymarket traders are watching for any ripple into U.S.
IDF account disputed in Lebanon clash as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40%
Reserve troops from the 679th Yiftah Brigade say the IDF misdescribed Tuesday’s Bint Jbeil clash, including when an Oketz dog was killed and when evacuations occurred.
Drone strikes hit Chernihiv as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 19%
On July 6, Russian drones hit two enterprises in Ukraine’s Chernihiv region, igniting fires in Koriukivka district that responders later put out with no reported casualties.
US Iran strike report jolts Polymarket 2028 race as Vance holds 20.05%
A report said the United States struck Iran after attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, with no immediate official confirmation or Iranian response.
GOP plans $8M ad blitz as Polymarket keeps Newsom at 18.2% for 2028
Republican strategists are lining up an $8 million advertising push aimed at a Platner replacement, signaling an early bid to shape the next cycle’s narrative.
US strikes on Iran lift Polymarket invasion odds to 14.5%
CENTCOM said the U.S. military launched “powerful strikes” against Iran to impose “heavy costs,” escalating pressure on Tehran.
Iran waiver revoked lifts oil, Polymarket keeps Starmer exit odds at 97.2%
Oil climbed about 5% after the United States revoked an Iran oil sanctions waiver, tightening expectations for Iranian crude flows and adding supply uncertainty.
US moves to reimpose Iran sanctions as Polymarket keeps RFK Jr at 49%
On Tuesday, a report said the United States is moving to reimpose sanctions in response to strikes involving Iran.