Polymarket

Peru declares Fujimori winner as Polymarket keeps Netanyahu at 39%
Polymarket

Peru declares Fujimori winner as Polymarket keeps Netanyahu at 39%

Peru’s National Jury of Elections declared Keiko Fujimori president, with 9,223,000 votes to Roberto Sanchez’s 9,173,000 after the June 7 runoff as fraud claims persisted without proof.

Venezuela quake fallout hits US politics as Polymarket puts Starmer at 97.5%
Polymarket

Venezuela quake fallout hits US politics as Polymarket puts Starmer at 97.5%

After earthquakes struck Venezuela, a report said the fallout is widening divisions among U.S. Republicans over how to approach the country’s leadership, sharpening a hawks-vs-Trump-aligned rift.

Soft dollar outlook lifts Polymarket odds of Fed holding rates in July at 89.5%
Polymarket

Soft dollar outlook lifts Polymarket odds of Fed holding rates in July at 89.5%

This week’s US dollar forecast said the greenback looks softer while the Federal Reserve remains reluctant to pivot from its stance.

Vance disclosure spotlights crypto as Polymarket keeps him at 20.55%
Polymarket

Vance disclosure spotlights crypto as Polymarket keeps him at 20.55%

On July 3, JD Vance’s financial disclosure detailed book-related income and listed cryptocurrency holdings, renewing scrutiny as 2028 maneuvering ramps up.

Kyiv leadership buzz lifts Polymarket odds of Putin exit by end-2026 to 11.5%
Polymarket

Kyiv leadership buzz lifts Polymarket odds of Putin exit by end-2026 to 11.5%

A Ukrainska Pravda investigation said ex-commander Valerii Zaluzhny told President Volodymyr Zelensky he would run if an autumn election were held, though details were unverified and wartime voting

Missile-hit CMA CGM ship may be scrapped as Polymarket Yes slips to 24.5%
Polymarket

Missile-hit CMA CGM ship may be scrapped as Polymarket Yes slips to 24.5%

CMA CGM’s chief executive said a company vessel hit by a missile in the Strait of Hormuz may be sent for scrapping, underscoring the security risks facing commercial shipping.

Russia steps up strikes as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2026 odds to 11.5%
Polymarket

Russia steps up strikes as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2026 odds to 11.5%

Russian overnight attacks on Ukraine killed at least four people and injured 10, officials said Friday, after a deadly day in Kyiv.

Trump touts Iran progress as Polymarket cuts Qatar talks odds to 33.5%
Polymarket

Trump touts Iran progress as Polymarket cuts Qatar talks odds to 33.5%

U.S. President Donald Trump said Iran has agreed to “just about everything” the United States needs, but offered no terms, timing, or location for any next meeting.

Tehran funeral focus lifts Polymarket to 97% on Starmer leaving office by 2027
Polymarket

Tehran funeral focus lifts Polymarket to 97% on Starmer leaving office by 2027

In Tehran, a top Iranian general was seen publicly as officials prepared a dayslong funeral for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, sharpening attention on who could steer the transition.

Yen steadies on intervention talk as Polymarket sees 67.5% Fed hold
Polymarket

Yen steadies on intervention talk as Polymarket sees 67.5% Fed hold

The Japanese yen steadied as traders weighed rising risks of official currency-market intervention and softer expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike.