Polymarket

Colombia’s razor-thin runoff win nudges Bardella to 24.5% on Polymarket
Polymarket

Colombia’s razor-thin runoff win nudges Bardella to 24.5% on Polymarket

Sunday’s initial ballot count showed Colombia’s Abelardo De La Espriella edging Ivan Cepeda 49.66% to 48.70%, highlighting how narrow margins can flip outcomes.

Colombia swing right leaves Polymarket 2028 GOP nod steady with RFK Jr. at 49%
Polymarket

Colombia swing right leaves Polymarket 2028 GOP nod steady with RFK Jr. at 49%

An initial ballot count after Colombia’s June 22 runoff put nationalist newcomer Abelardo De La Espriella ahead, with the final verified tally nearly complete Monday.

U.S.-Iran talks ease tensions as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 78.5%
Polymarket

U.S.-Iran talks ease tensions as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 78.5%

Early Monday in Switzerland, high-level U.S.-Iran talks ended with mediators citing “encouraging progress” and a 60-day roadmap plus a direct hotline to prevent incidents in the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump-backed Colombian runoff lead meets Polymarket’s 2028 Vance 20% edge
Polymarket

Trump-backed Colombian runoff lead meets Polymarket’s 2028 Vance 20% edge

With over 99% of ballots counted, Abelardo de la Espriella led Colombia’s presidential runoff 49.7% to 48.7% as Iván Cepeda refused to concede pending official verification.

Oil slips on US-Iran talk progress as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 79%
Polymarket

Oil slips on US-Iran talk progress as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 79%

Brent crude slid 1.85% to $79.08 by 2:40 p.m. Singapore time after mediators said Washington and Tehran agreed to a 60-day roadmap toward a final deal.

June 26 Bitcoin options expiry looms as Polymarket puts 56K at 99.75%
Polymarket

June 26 Bitcoin options expiry looms as Polymarket puts 56K at 99.75%

More than $10 billion in Bitcoin options are set to expire on June 26, putting dealer hedging and key strike levels in focus as spot hovers near $65,000.

JPMAM flags midyear rebound; Polymarket puts July Fed hold odds at 74%
Polymarket

JPMAM flags midyear rebound; Polymarket puts July Fed hold odds at 74%

In its 2026 midyear outlook, JPMorgan Asset Management told investors to stay in stocks for the second half, citing AI-driven growth and resilient consumers despite lingering inflation.

World Cup nostalgia essay hits as Polymarket keeps Newsom atop 2028 Dem odds
Polymarket

World Cup nostalgia essay hits as Polymarket keeps Newsom atop 2028 Dem odds

On June 21, 2026, an essay traced how a nearly six-year-old’s new obsession with the World Cup reshaped family routines, blending sticker books with YouTube highlights.

Trump AI export order jolts Polymarket, Starmer exit odds jump to 84.5%
Polymarket

Trump AI export order jolts Polymarket, Starmer exit odds jump to 84.5%

Anthropic took its newest AI models, Fable 5 and Mythos 5, offline after a Trump administration export control order, as questions mount over security claims and guardrail bypass reports.