US Election Prediction Markets
Peru Runoff Narrow Victory: Polymarket Odds Signal Narrow Margin
On June 9, Peru’s runoff remained a tight contest as voting data drips in.
Peru 2nd Round: Narrow Fujimori Lead Drives Sub-0.5% Margin Bets
Trump tells Thune to fire the Parliamentarian, raising tensions amid a high-stakes U.S. confrontation and funding the political risk spectrum on June 8, 2026.
Russia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%
On [date], Polymarket traders watch United Russia hold the lead around 54.5% as markets price the top outcome. Investors care because odds on ER vs.
Trump unlikely to exit by June 30, Polymarket odds swing side
Bitcoin fell below $60,000 in a fresh dip on the crypto slide, as risk appetite cooled and liquidity shifted across digital assets.
Peru 2nd Round Bet Focus Narrows to Fujimori Narrow Victory
In early June 2026, Moomoo and Kalshi launched CFTC-regulated event contracts across economics, elections, and sports.
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Burnham Favored in Makerfield By-Election as Markets React to Rising Odds
On June 3, South Korea’s local elections produced a sweeping ruling-party showing but Seoul’s mayoralty loss tempered momentum for President Lee Jae Myung.
Crypto PACs Shape Bets on Peru’s 2026 Race
In early June, crypto-focused PACs boosted ad spending ahead of California primaries and Maryland’s late June contest, per FEC filings.
California Governor race bets shift as incumbency tilt guides Polymarket
On election night, New Jersey primary dynamics shape turnout and spillover into California as incumbents face momentum shifts.
Baltic pressure plan shelves Putin departure odds by end-2026
On a Forbes piece from this week, a Baltic Sea pressure campaign could push Vladimir Putin toward negotiations without full-scale conflict, leveraging sanctions, maritime enforcement, and allied
Colombia runoff nudges Brazil 2026 race; Lula leads Polymarket odds
On June runoff results in Colombia could influence regional sentiment as markets watch Brazil’s 2026 race; analysts note volatility as counts finalize.