Search Results for "Donald Trump Prediction Markets"
Trump AI export order jolts Polymarket, Starmer exit odds jump to 84.5%
Anthropic took its newest AI models, Fable 5 and Mythos 5, offline after a Trump administration export control order, as questions mount over security claims and guardrail bypass reports.
Oil slips on US-Iran talk progress as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 79%
Brent crude slid 1.85% to $79.08 by 2:40 p.m. Singapore time after mediators said Washington and Tehran agreed to a 60-day roadmap toward a final deal.
Trump-backed Colombian runoff lead meets Polymarket’s 2028 Vance 20% edge
With over 99% of ballots counted, Abelardo de la Espriella led Colombia’s presidential runoff 49.7% to 48.7% as Iván Cepeda refused to concede pending official verification.
U.S.-Iran talks ease tensions as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 78.5%
Early Monday in Switzerland, high-level U.S.-Iran talks ended with mediators citing “encouraging progress” and a 60-day roadmap plus a direct hotline to prevent incidents in the Strait of Hormuz.
Colombia swing right leaves Polymarket 2028 GOP nod steady with RFK Jr. at 49%
An initial ballot count after Colombia’s June 22 runoff put nationalist newcomer Abelardo De La Espriella ahead, with the final verified tally nearly complete Monday.
Trump-Iran inspections dispute lifts Polymarket’s 2028 Vance odds to 20.25%
During weekend Switzerland talks, JD Vance said an inspections deal with Iran would mark a milestone, after Trump claimed IAEA inspectors would return and Tehran denied new commitments.
Trump cites Reflecting Pool vandalism as Polymarket keeps Starmer at 82.5%
Washington’s Reflecting Pool will be drained after Donald Trump again blamed vandalism for bright green algae and peeling paint, citing arrests and promising proof in court.
Senate probes UAE-linked Trump crypto deal as Polymarket keeps him at 1.85%
On June 23, Senate Democrats urged immediate hearings into a reported $500 million UAE-linked stake in Trump family crypto venture World Liberty Financial, alleging potential foreign influence.
Cepeda concedes in Colombia as Polymarket prices Starmer exit at 91.5%
Three days after Colombia’s record-turnout run-off, leftist Ivan Cepeda conceded defeat to Abelardo de la Espriella while the final count continued.
Ethereum Foundation cuts spur Polymarket shift as Vance climbs to 20%
EthLabs launched this week as the Ethereum Foundation announced about a 40% budget cut and layoffs for roughly 20% of staff, reviving doubts about its direction.
Trump battles GOP over Iran war powers as Polymarket pegs exit odds at 0.25%
After a late-night vote, Senate Republicans defeated a war powers resolution on Trump’s Iran campaign 47-50-1, after he confronted GOP holdouts including Bill Cassidy.
Judge blocks Trump student loan rules as Polymarket puts Vance at 20.55%
A U.S. judge on Monday blocked the Trump administration’s new student loan restrictions, stopping the rules from taking effect as litigation continues.