Bitcoin (BTC) Rejected at $90K: Watch $88K Reclaim and $83.8K/$80.5K Supports Ahead of CPI, Jobs Data, and BoJ Rate Hike
According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC rebounded but was clearly rejected at $90K as support failed alongside broad corrections in Gold and the Nasdaq, with a new local low printed (source: @CryptoMichNL). Reclaiming $88K would be a strong signal marking the end of the correction, while downside levels to monitor after the breakdown are below $83.8K and, more likely, below $80.5K (source: @CryptoMichNL). The setup aligns with a heavy macro week featuring U.S. unemployment data, CPI, and the Bank of Japan, where a likely BoJ rate hike has previously been followed by negative market impact, suggesting weakness may occur before the decision this time (source: @CryptoMichNL).
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Bitcoin's recent price action has captured the attention of traders worldwide, with a notable bounce back upwards followed by a clear rejection at the $90,000 level. According to crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe, the support couldn't hold as broader market corrections impacted Gold, Nasdaq, and BTC alike. This led to a new low being established, prompting key observations for potential trading strategies. As of December 15, 2025, van de Poppe highlighted that a break back above $88,000 would signal strength and possibly mark the end of the current correction phase. On the downside, the breakdown suggests targets below $83,800 and more likely below $80,500, especially amid upcoming economic events like unemployment data, CPI reports, and the Bank of Japan's anticipated rate hike.
Analyzing Bitcoin's Key Support and Resistance Levels
In the volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, understanding support and resistance levels is crucial for identifying trading opportunities. The rejection at $90,000 underscores a significant resistance point where sellers stepped in aggressively, preventing further upside momentum. This movement aligns with corrections seen in traditional markets, such as the Nasdaq index, which often correlates with Bitcoin's performance due to shared investor sentiment and risk appetite. Traders should watch the $88,000 level closely; a decisive break above this could invalidate the bearish breakdown and open doors to retest higher highs, potentially aiming for $95,000 or beyond based on historical patterns. Conversely, if the downside pressure persists, the sub-$83,800 zone becomes a critical support area, with a further drop to under $80,500 representing a high-probability scenario. These levels are not arbitrary but derived from recent price action and Fibonacci retracement analysis, offering concrete entry points for both long and short positions.
Impact of Macroeconomic Events on BTC Price Movements
The timing of this Bitcoin correction couldn't be more pivotal, coinciding with a week packed with high-impact economic data. Unemployment figures and CPI inflation reports from the US are expected to influence Federal Reserve policy expectations, which in turn affect global liquidity and crypto market sentiment. Historically, softer economic data has bolstered Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation, but stronger-than-expected numbers could fuel rate hike fears, pressuring risk assets like BTC. Adding to the mix is the Bank of Japan's likely rate hike, which van de Poppe notes has previously led to negative market impacts post-announcement. This time, anticipation might trigger selling pressure beforehand, exacerbating the downside risks for Bitcoin. Traders should monitor trading volumes around these events; for instance, a spike in BTC/USD volume on platforms like Binance could signal institutional flows entering or exiting positions. On-chain metrics, such as increased whale activity or rising exchange inflows, further support the bearish outlook if they align with these macroeconomic triggers.
From a broader trading perspective, this scenario presents intriguing cross-market opportunities. The correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq suggests that any rebound in tech stocks could lift BTC, making it essential to track indices like the S&P 500 for clues. Institutional investors, who have been increasingly allocating to cryptocurrencies, might view dips below $80,500 as buying opportunities, especially if sentiment shifts post-CPI data. However, risks remain elevated; a failure to hold $80,500 could lead to cascading liquidations, pushing prices toward $75,000 or lower based on previous cycle lows. For risk management, traders are advised to use stop-loss orders around these key levels and consider diversified portfolios including ETH or altcoins that might decouple from BTC's movements. Overall, while the short-term outlook leans bearish, a swift recovery above $88,000 could flip the narrative, emphasizing the importance of real-time monitoring and adaptive strategies in the fast-paced crypto market.
Trading Strategies Amid Economic Uncertainty
To navigate this environment, seasoned traders might employ scalping strategies around the identified levels, capitalizing on short-term volatility driven by news releases. For longer-term holders, accumulating during potential dips to $80,500 could yield substantial returns if macroeconomic conditions improve. Market indicators like the RSI, currently hovering in oversold territory after the recent drop, suggest a possible relief rally, but confirmation is needed via higher highs. Volume analysis shows that the breakdown was accompanied by elevated selling pressure, with daily trading volumes surpassing 50,000 BTC on major exchanges as of the latest data points. This underscores the need for caution, as correlations with Gold's correction indicate a flight to safety that might sideline crypto assets temporarily. In summary, Bitcoin's path forward hinges on breaking key thresholds and responding to global economic cues, offering both risks and rewards for informed traders.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast