Bitcoin: 200-Week MA Range Tests Cycle Shift

Bitcoin price ranging around the 200-Week MA and resting on the 50-Monthly MA undercuts direct comparisons to the prior cycle, which itself deviated from earlier patterns, with Michaël van de Poppe noting that substantial volume is required to breach this historically reliable bear-market floor during peak $STRC and BTC conditions. On the 4h chart BTC trades at $59905.98 inside Bollinger bands with upper resistance at $60866.88 and lower support at $59275.23, sitting below the EMA50 at $61475.91 and EMA200 at $66477.07 in a bearish structure while RSI(14) at 42.56 remains neutral and MACD(12,26) at -450.13 registers a bullish golden cross that could support a short-term bounce before any deeper test of crypto market support levels. This setup feeds directly into ongoing BTC price prediction models and Bitcoin cycle analysis that now weigh longer-term moving-average confluence against shorter-term volatility exhaustion.