Despite one of the highest inflows into Bitcoin ETPs and record Bitcoin purchases by MicroStrategy ($MSTR) last week, BTC has failed to reclaim the ETF cost basis around $81k, signaling potential hesitation in the market as traders eye further developments in BTC price prediction and broader crypto market trends.

From a technical confluence standpoint, BTC trades at $74,705.45 within a bullish trend structure, holding above the EMA200 at $71,671.57 as firm long-term support, while the EMA50 at $74,407.27 acts as immediate resistance that price must conquer for upside momentum. The MACD shows a bearish death cross with a value of 7.97, clashing against neutral RSI at 46.4, and with price nestled inside Bollinger Bands—upper resistance at $77,856.51 capping gains and lower support at $73,669.15 offering a buffer—expect a test of that lower band if inflows don't translate to buying pressure, potentially setting up a rebound toward Bitcoin ETF inflows driven highs if volatility exhausts downward.