Economist André Dragosch asserts that Bitcoin rallies as it anticipates renewed easing through negative real rates, with a significant counter rally expected if the Fed holds steady amid climbing inflation expectations. Echoing Jordi Visser, he notes a correlation break between BTC and software stocks, driven by miners, where crypto names dominate top performers in IGV since March lows. As CPI potentially exceeds three-month bills, BTC enters its historically strongest quadrant, boosting BTC price prediction amid broader crypto market trends including viral plays like RAVE.

From a technical confluence standpoint, BTC trades at $78,846.12 in a clear bullish structure, hugging the upper Bollinger Band resistance at $79,166.19 while the MACD flashes a golden cross at 843.85, signaling sustained upward momentum. RSI at 65.87 sits neutral but leans toward overbought territory, suggesting potential exhaustion before a dip; watch for confluence at the EMA50 support of $75,527.54 as a reload zone if volatility pulls price back from these highs, especially with the EMA200 at $72,484.19 anchoring the longer-term floor—classic setup for institutional buyers to pile in on retracements amid this macro-driven surge.