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5/8/2026 9:27:00 AM

Bitcoin: Signals Bear Market End

Bitcoin: Signals Bear Market End

Bitcoin's short to long-term realized value ratio hits levels like 2022, 2018, 2014 bottoms, indicating bear market conclusion and potential BTC price prediction upside.

Source

Analysis

Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe highlights a key Bitcoin metric—the short to long-term realized value ratio—that's flashing signals akin to previous market bottoms in 2022, 2018, and 2014. This ratio detects bear markets and anticipates reversals, with current levels suggesting BTC sits at the end of its downturn, not the beginning, fueling optimism for crypto market recovery amid ongoing BTC price prediction debates and whispers of renewed hype in assets like TAO.

Zooming into the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin trades at $80,158.26 within a bullish structure, hugging the EMA50 at $79,719.38 as immediate support while the EMA200 at $75,942.97 anchors longer-term floors. Neutral RSI at 49.07 keeps momentum balanced, but the MACD's bearish death cross at 25.94 hints at short-term pressure—yet with price coiled inside Bollinger Bands, eyeing upper resistance at $82,322.28 and lower support at $79,060.96, confluence points to a volatility squeeze that could propel a breakout if bulls defend the lower band, mirroring setups that crushed prior crypto market crash fears.


Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast