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BTC Inflation Hedge Thesis: Bobby Ong Says Up-Only as USD Liquidity Expands — Key Macro Signals Traders Should Track | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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9/6/2025 11:51:00 PM

BTC Inflation Hedge Thesis: Bobby Ong Says Up-Only as USD Liquidity Expands — Key Macro Signals Traders Should Track

BTC Inflation Hedge Thesis: Bobby Ong Says Up-Only as USD Liquidity Expands — Key Macro Signals Traders Should Track

According to @bobbyong, BTC is a hedge against USD inflation and should remain up-only while the money printer runs, as stated in his X post on Sep 6, 2025. Source: Bobby Ong on X, Sep 6, 2025. Under this thesis, traders should monitor USD liquidity proxies such as US M2 money supply and the Federal Reserve balance sheet total assets to gauge directional bias for BTC. Sources: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED M2SL; Board of Governors H.4.1 Statistical Release. CPI prints and FOMC policy decisions are near-term volatility catalysts for BTC because they inform inflation and liquidity paths that underpin this view. Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI; Federal Reserve FOMC statements.

Source

Analysis

In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency trading, a recent statement from industry expert Bobby Ong has reignited discussions about Bitcoin's role as a protective asset against traditional financial pressures. According to Bobby Ong, BTC serves as a hedge against USD inflation, with its value poised for upward momentum as long as central banks continue aggressive money printing policies. This perspective, shared on September 6, 2025, underscores a fundamental trading narrative that has driven BTC's appeal among investors seeking alternatives to fiat currencies amid economic uncertainty.

Bitcoin's Inflation-Hedge Dynamics and Trading Implications

Delving deeper into this viewpoint, Bitcoin's design as a decentralized digital asset with a fixed supply of 21 million coins positions it uniquely against inflationary fiat systems. Traders often monitor key indicators like the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Federal Reserve balance sheet expansions to gauge potential BTC rallies. For instance, historical data shows that during periods of heightened money supply growth, such as the post-2020 quantitative easing era, BTC experienced significant price surges. In 2021, following massive stimulus injections, BTC climbed from around $29,000 in January to over $68,000 by November, marking a 134% increase. This correlation suggests trading opportunities where investors can position long on BTC/USD pairs when inflation metrics rise above expectations. Current market sentiment, influenced by ongoing global economic policies, continues to support this hedge narrative, encouraging accumulation strategies during dips below key support levels like $50,000.

Analyzing Support, Resistance, and Volume Trends

From a technical analysis standpoint, BTC's price action often reflects inflation-hedge buying pressure. Traders should watch resistance at $60,000, a level that has acted as a psychological barrier in recent months, with breakthroughs potentially leading to tests of all-time highs near $73,000. On-chain metrics, such as increased wallet addresses holding over 1,000 BTC, indicate growing institutional interest, which bolsters long-term up-only theses. Trading volumes on major exchanges have shown spikes during inflation report releases; for example, on dates like the July 2023 CPI announcement, 24-hour BTC trading volume exceeded $30 billion, correlating with a 5% price uptick within hours. For risk management, incorporating stop-loss orders below $55,000 can mitigate volatility, while leveraging tools like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) helps identify overbought conditions above 70, signaling potential pullbacks amid inflationary news.

Broader market implications extend to cross-asset correlations, where BTC's performance influences stock markets, particularly tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, which often move in tandem due to shared investor bases. As money printing persists, diversified portfolios might allocate 5-10% to BTC for inflation protection, with trading pairs like BTC/ETH offering relative value plays. Institutional flows, evidenced by ETF approvals in early 2024, have injected billions into the ecosystem, further validating the up-only outlook. However, traders must remain vigilant of regulatory risks and macroeconomic shifts, such as interest rate hikes, which could temporarily suppress upward momentum. Overall, this inflation-hedge strategy promotes a buy-and-hold approach supplemented by active trading around economic data releases, aiming for compounded returns in a brrr-driven world.

Exploring trading opportunities, options like perpetual futures on platforms allow for leveraged positions betting on BTC's inflation resilience. Sentiment analysis from social metrics shows positive buzz around such narratives, often preceding volume-driven rallies. In summary, as long as inflationary pressures endure, BTC's trajectory aligns with Ong's assertion, offering traders a compelling case for strategic entries and exits based on real-time economic indicators.

Bobby Ong

@bobbyong

Co-founder & COO @coingecko and @geckoterminal. Bootstrapping in the crypto space since 2013.