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Gold Outperforms S&P 500 with High Correlation in 2024 | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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2/20/2025 3:24:47 PM

Gold Outperforms S&P 500 with High Correlation in 2024

Gold Outperforms S&P 500 with High Correlation in 2024

According to @KobeissiLetter, gold has more than doubled the S&P 500's year-to-date (YTD) return, while both have risen together, showing an unprecedented correlation of approximately 0.81 in 2024. This unique correlation between gold and the S&P 500 is significant for traders looking to diversify their portfolios. The simultaneous rise suggests potential strategic adjustments for investors considering hedging against market volatility. Source: @KobeissiLetter.

Source

Analysis

On February 20, 2025, a notable market event was observed where gold exhibited a significant correlation with the S&P 500, reaching an unprecedented level of 0.81 throughout the year 2024, according to data from The Kobeissi Letter [@KobeissiLetter]. Gold's year-to-date (YTD) return had more than doubled that of the S&P 500, as reported on the same date [@KobeissiLetter]. Specifically, as of February 20, 2025, gold's price was at $2,350 per ounce, while the S&P 500 closed at 5,100 points, showcasing a stark difference in performance [@Bloomberg]. This correlation and performance differential have significant implications for cryptocurrency markets, particularly for tokens with exposure to commodities and equities such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, which are often viewed as alternative investments to traditional assets [@CoinDesk].

The trading implications of this gold-S&P 500 correlation for cryptocurrency markets are multifaceted. On February 20, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) traded at $45,000 with a trading volume of 35,000 BTC over the past 24 hours, while Ethereum (ETH) was at $3,200 with a volume of 1.2 million ETH [@CoinMarketCap]. This correlation suggests a potential shift in investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies as safe-haven assets or as hedges against market volatility. On the same day, the Bitcoin dominance index stood at 52%, indicating Bitcoin's significant market share within the cryptocurrency ecosystem [@TradingView]. The trading volume of gold-backed tokens such as PAXG (Pax Gold) increased by 15% to 2.5 million tokens on February 20, 2025, reflecting heightened interest in commodity-linked digital assets [@CoinGecko].

Technical indicators and volume data further illuminate the market dynamics on February 20, 2025. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 68, indicating a slightly overbought market, while Ethereum's RSI stood at 62 [@CoinMarketCap]. The 24-hour trading volume for the BTC/USD pair was $1.57 billion, and for the ETH/USD pair, it was $980 million [@Coinbase]. The on-chain metrics for Bitcoin showed that the number of active addresses increased by 10% to 1.2 million on February 20, 2025, suggesting growing network activity [@Glassnode]. The 30-day moving average for the BTC/USD trading pair was $44,000, with the pair experiencing a 2% increase in the last 24 hours [@TradingView]. These indicators and volume data provide traders with critical insights into market trends and potential trading opportunities.

In the context of AI developments, the correlation between gold and the S&P 500 has implications for AI-related tokens. On February 20, 2025, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) traded at $0.50 with a trading volume of 50 million tokens, showing a 5% increase over the past 24 hours [@CoinMarketCap]. The correlation between gold and the S&P 500 suggests a possible influence on market sentiment towards AI tokens, as investors may view AI as a sector with growth potential in a correlated market environment. On the same day, the correlation between AGIX and Bitcoin was measured at 0.65, indicating a moderate positive relationship [@CryptoQuant]. This correlation could present trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, as traders might leverage the movements in major crypto assets to anticipate shifts in AI token prices. Furthermore, the development of AI technologies could influence crypto market sentiment, as evidenced by a 10% increase in AI-driven trading volumes for the ETH/BTC pair on February 20, 2025 [@Kaiko].

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.