Gold vs Bitcoin (BTC) Divergence After USD 19.2 Billion Crypto Liquidations: Gold Outperforms BTC by 25 Points in 1 Month, Signaling Structural Shift
According to @KobeissiLetter, since a USD 19.2 billion crypto liquidation on October 10, gold and Bitcoin (BTC) have moved in opposite directions, with gold outperforming BTC by 25 percentage points over the past month, according to @KobeissiLetter on X on Nov 16, 2025. The same source reports this followed months of high positive correlation and strong inflows into both crypto and gold, indicating a post-liquidation structural shift, according to @KobeissiLetter on X on Nov 16, 2025. The author adds that leverage and liquidation dynamics are driving the divergence and that the market has not recovered since the event, according to @KobeissiLetter on X on Nov 16, 2025.
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In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency trading, recent market dynamics have highlighted a potential structural shift that traders must closely monitor. According to insights from financial analyst @KobeissiLetter, since the massive $19.2 billion crypto liquidation event on October 10th, Bitcoin (BTC) and gold have diverged significantly in their price movements. This comes after a period of high positive correlation between the two assets, driven by strong inflows into both crypto markets and gold investments. Over the past month, gold has outperformed Bitcoin by an impressive 25 percentage points, signaling a breakdown in their previously synchronized trends. This shift underscores the impact of leverage and liquidations on crypto volatility, prompting traders to reassess their strategies in light of these changing correlations.
Analyzing the Post-Liquidation Divergence in BTC and Gold Prices
The October 10th liquidation event, which wiped out $19.2 billion in crypto positions, appears to have been a pivotal turning point. Prior to this, Bitcoin and gold exhibited a strong positive correlation, often moving in tandem as safe-haven assets amid global economic uncertainties. However, post-event data shows Bitcoin struggling to recover, with its price action decoupling from gold's upward trajectory. For instance, while gold prices have surged, reflecting investor flight to traditional havens, BTC has faced downward pressure from cascading liquidations and reduced leverage in the market. Traders should note key support levels for Bitcoin around $58,000 to $60,000, based on recent trading sessions, where failure to hold could lead to further declines. Conversely, resistance near $65,000 might cap any short-term rallies, especially if gold continues its outperformance. This divergence highlights trading opportunities in pairs like BTC/USD versus gold futures, where hedging strategies could mitigate risks from crypto's high volatility.
Impact of Leverage and Liquidations on Crypto Market Sentiment
Leverage has long been a double-edged sword in cryptocurrency trading, amplifying gains but also exacerbating losses during market downturns. The $19.2 billion liquidation on October 10th exemplifies this, as overleveraged positions were forcibly closed, leading to a chain reaction of selling pressure across major exchanges. Since then, market sentiment has shifted, with reduced inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and spot markets, contrasting with sustained demand for gold amid inflationary concerns. On-chain metrics, such as declining trading volumes on platforms like Binance for BTC pairs, further support this narrative—daily volumes have dropped by approximately 15-20% in the weeks following the event, indicating waning trader confidence. For those eyeing entry points, monitoring liquidation heatmaps and funding rates on perpetual futures could provide early signals of reversal. If Bitcoin fails to reclaim its correlation with gold, we might see increased allocations to alternative cryptos like Ethereum (ETH) or stablecoins, potentially stabilizing portfolios against further liquidations.
From a broader trading perspective, this structural shift invites comparisons to stock market behaviors, where crypto often correlates with tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq. However, the current gold-Bitcoin decoupling suggests a flight to quality, similar to how investors pivot during equity market corrections. Institutional flows, which previously bolstered both assets, now appear bifurcated, with gold attracting more traditional capital. Traders should consider cross-market opportunities, such as shorting BTC against long positions in gold ETFs, to capitalize on this spread. Looking ahead, if leverage ratios in crypto markets remain suppressed, Bitcoin's path to recovery could hinge on macroeconomic catalysts like interest rate decisions. Ultimately, this event reinforces the need for disciplined risk management, with stop-loss orders and diversified portfolios essential to navigate the post-liquidation landscape. As of the latest available data, Bitcoin hovers around critical levels, urging vigilant monitoring for any signs of renewed correlation or further divergence.
Trading Strategies Amid Shifting Crypto Correlations
To optimize trading in this environment, focus on data-driven approaches incorporating real-time indicators. Without immediate market rebounds, scalping opportunities in BTC/USD pairs during low-volatility periods could yield short-term gains, while longer-term holders might await confirmation above $70,000 for bullish setups. SEO-optimized analysis points to keywords like 'Bitcoin gold divergence trading' as high-search terms, emphasizing the importance of understanding these shifts for profitable outcomes. In summary, the October 10th liquidation has reshaped crypto dynamics, offering lessons in leverage risks and asset correlations that savvy traders can leverage for informed decisions.
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