Prediction Markets Boom in 2024: Monthly Notional Soars to $13B; Polymarket, Kalshi, Opinion Emerge as Leaders — Dune Data Report | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
Latest Update
12/17/2025 1:50:00 PM

Prediction Markets Boom in 2024: Monthly Notional Soars to $13B; Polymarket, Kalshi, Opinion Emerge as Leaders — Dune Data Report

Prediction Markets Boom in 2024: Monthly Notional Soars to $13B; Polymarket, Kalshi, Opinion Emerge as Leaders — Dune Data Report

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a new 88-page data report shows prediction markets became one of 2024’s fastest-growing sectors, with monthly notional volume rising from under $0.1B to $13B (source: Dune Prediction Markets Report, dune.com/prediction-markets-report). The report identifies Polymarket, Kalshi, and Opinion as the clear leaders by monthly turnover, reflecting a three-way concentration of trading activity (source: Dune Prediction Markets Report, dune.com/prediction-markets-report). Opinion has exhibited explosive volume growth since October this year, nearly matching the two incumbents, with the author attributing momentum to a BSC-focused resource push (source: Dune Prediction Markets Report, dune.com/prediction-markets-report; author: @ai_9684xtpa). The download link for the full analysis is provided by the author (source: @ai_9684xtpa, dune.com/prediction-markets-report).

Source

Analysis

The prediction markets sector has witnessed unprecedented growth in 2024, transforming from a niche area into one of the fastest-expanding domains in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. According to a comprehensive 88-page report shared by analyst Ai yi on December 17, 2025, monthly nominal trading volumes have skyrocketed from under $100 million at the start of the year to an astonishing $130 billion. This surge underscores the increasing investor interest in decentralized betting platforms, where users can trade on real-world events ranging from elections to sports outcomes. For crypto traders, this boom presents lucrative opportunities, particularly in tokens associated with leading platforms like Polymarket and Opinion, which could see heightened volatility and trading volumes as adoption accelerates. Integrating this with broader market sentiment, the rise aligns with institutional flows into Web3 applications, potentially boosting related altcoins and creating cross-market trading strategies tied to Ethereum and Binance Smart Chain ecosystems.

Current Landscape: A Triopoly Dominates Prediction Markets

Delving into the current dynamics, the report highlights a triopoly in the prediction markets space, with Polymarket, Kalshi, and Opinion leading the pack in monthly trading volumes as of late 2025. Polymarket and Kalshi have maintained their dominance, but Opinion has experienced explosive growth since October 2025, nearly achieving parity with the established players. This shift is attributed to aggressive resource allocation on the Binance Smart Chain (BSC), enabling Opinion to capture significant market share through efficient scaling and lower transaction costs. From a trading perspective, this three-way competition could drive price action in native tokens or related DeFi assets. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics such as daily active users and liquidity pools on BSC for Opinion, as these indicators often precede volume spikes. For instance, if Opinion's trading volume continues its upward trajectory, it might trigger bullish momentum in BSC-based tokens, offering entry points around key support levels. Correlating this with stock market trends, prediction markets' growth mirrors institutional interest in AI-driven forecasting tools, potentially influencing trades in tech stocks like those in the Nasdaq, where crypto correlations are strengthening amid regulatory clarity.

Trading Opportunities and Market Indicators

For traders eyeing prediction markets, the report's data suggests focusing on volume-based strategies. With monthly volumes hitting $130 billion, platforms like Polymarket on Polygon could see increased ETH pairs trading, especially if Ethereum's price stabilizes above $3,000. Opinion's BSC integration offers lower-fee alternatives, making it attractive for high-frequency trading. Key indicators include 24-hour volume changes and on-chain transaction counts; for example, a surge in BSC gas usage could signal impending rallies in related tokens. Broader implications for crypto markets involve sentiment analysis—positive news from prediction platforms often spills over to AI tokens like FET or AGIX, given their overlap in predictive analytics. Institutional flows, as evidenced by venture capital injections into these platforms, may further amplify this, creating arbitrage opportunities between crypto and traditional markets. Traders should watch resistance levels around recent highs, using tools like RSI for overbought signals to time entries. This environment also favors long-term positions in diversified portfolios, blending prediction market exposure with stablecoins for risk management.

Looking ahead, the report emphasizes the sector's potential for sustained growth, driven by regulatory advancements and technological integrations. Crypto enthusiasts can download the full report from the Dune analytics platform for deeper insights. In terms of trading strategies, consider pairing prediction market bets with stock options on companies involved in blockchain, such as those developing oracle networks for accurate event resolutions. Market sentiment remains bullish, with potential for $200 billion monthly volumes by mid-2026 if trends persist. However, risks include regulatory scrutiny, so diversifying across chains like Polygon and BSC is advisable. Overall, this data positions prediction markets as a high-growth area for savvy traders, blending speculative betting with data-driven analysis for optimal returns.

To wrap up, the explosive expansion detailed in the report not only validates prediction markets as a core crypto narrative but also opens doors for innovative trading approaches. By leveraging on-chain data and cross-asset correlations, investors can capitalize on this momentum, potentially yielding significant gains in a volatile market landscape.

Ai 姨

@ai_9684xtpa

Ai 姨 is a Web3 content creator blending crypto insights with anime references