CRYPTO PREDICTION MARKETS
Polymarket odds peg BTC above $64K at 56.5% ahead of July 14 CPI
Bitcoin traded near $64,100 after a roughly 2.6% weekly rebound, with the U.S. CPI due July 14 as the next macro catalyst.
Polymarket odds peg BTC above $54K at 99.95% as $64K sits near 46%
Bitcoin hovered near $63,800 over the weekend despite new U.S. airstrikes on Iran and reports Tehran again closed the Strait of Hormuz, with traditional markets shut.
Polymarket pegs BTC above $52K at 99.95% as July 12 ladder pivots near $64K
Bitcoin rebounded about 3.5% to nearly $64,000 after dipping near $61,850, a report says, driven by liquidations and a weaker dollar.
Polymarket prices 99.95% BTC above $52K July 12 after NH bond rejection
On July 8, New Hampshire’s Executive Council voted 3-2 to reject a proposed $100 million Bitcoin-backed municipal bond after a public finance hearing.
Polymarket sees 99%+ odds BTC stays above $60K by July 12 amid oil risks
On July 9, Bitcoin stayed above $62,000 as renewed US-Iran fighting disrupted Strait of Hormuz traffic and pushed oil higher, stoking inflation and rate worries.
Polymarket prices BTC above $60K at 99% for July 11 as $64K stays 50-50
A live-markets roundup said bitcoin traded just above $63,000, up about 1.6% in 24 hours, as bitcoin ETFs returned to outflows and ether funds kept seeing inflows.
Polymarket odds peg BTC above $52K at 99.95% as July 12 ladder tightens
Bitcoin held above $62,000 as U.S.-Iran tensions flared again, while oil rose a third day and gold fell a fourth, leaving crypto relatively muted.
Polymarket prices BTC above $52K at 99.95% as CLARITY Act chatter builds
A new report says Bitcoin’s rebound is being pitched as a “CLARITY Act” catalyst over the next four weeks, even as no Senate floor vote is scheduled and delays could push action past Aug. 7.
Oil spike hits Bitcoin near $62K as Polymarket pegs $52K at 99.9%
Tuesday’s New York Fed survey showed 12-month inflation expectations rose to 3.7% as renewed U.S.-Iran airstrikes helped drive oil up about 5%, with Bitcoin hovering near $62,000 ahead of Fed
Fed minutes loom as Polymarket lifts ETH $1,700 touch odds to 44.5%
On Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET, the Fed will publish minutes from its June 16–17 meeting, a release traders hope clarifies views on labor-market weakness after bitcoin’s rebound.
MiCA distribution squeeze hits ETH sentiment as Polymarket sees 43.5% $1,700 dip
On July 3, EU regulators updated MiCA’s interim register as transitional periods expired, pressing unlicensed crypto providers to stop onboarding and marketing to EU clients while winding down
Strategy sale disclosure jolts Bitcoin as Polymarket puts $52K at 99.5%
Bitcoin climbed to about $63,900 early this week before reversing after disclosures that Strategy sold 3,588 BTC last week, though the dip was brief and losses were muted.
Bitcoin holds $63K as Polymarket prices 99.95% chance above $50K by July 8
Over the past week, ether jumped about 12% while bitcoin stayed above $63,000 despite a firmer dollar and fading AI-stock momentum, with U.S. inflation data ahead.
Portnoy vows to hold BTC as Polymarket puts 99.95% on above $50K by July 8
On FOX Business’ Varney & Co., Dave Portnoy said he’ll keep holding Bitcoin even if it goes to zero after buying near $100,000 and taking millions in losses.
ARK’s $77M crypto-stock buys lift focus as Polymarket sees BTC >$52K at 99%
In June, ARK Invest disclosed about $77 million in crypto-stock buys, led by Coinbase and Circle, even as Bitcoin logged its worst month in four years.
