CRYPTO PREDICTION MARKETS
ETF outflows after Fed update, Polymarket puts BTC above $54K at 99.9%
US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $82.2 million in net outflows on June 17 after the Fed, under new Chair Kevin Warsh, held rates at 3.50% to 3.75% and sounded less supportive on risk.
Equity rebound keeps Bitcoin near $63K as Polymarket puts 99.85% on $56K
U.S. equities rebounded after the Fed’s latest policy meeting, while bitcoin slid about 2% to just above $63,000 and crypto ETFs saw $111 million in net outflows.
Hougan sees calmer bull run as Polymarket puts BTC above $54K at 99.95%
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan said crypto’s next bull market may be slower and less volatile as Wall Street shifts toward tokenization, stablecoins, and AI.
Bitcoin dips ahead of Warsh-led FOMC as Polymarket sees 99.95% o1 FDV >$100M
Bitcoin fell below $65,000 ahead of the first FOMC decision under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, with futures volume down 20% and volatility near multiweek lows.
M2-adjusted BTC scrutiny keeps Polymarket at 99.95% for above $56K
A new M2-adjusted analysis suggests Bitcoin and the S&P 500 look weaker than their nominal highs, with BTC-to-M2 flashing a warning pattern after the 2023–2025 climb.
VanEck flags $50B miner funding gap as Polymarket pegs BTC >$54K at 99.95%
A VanEck report says Bitcoin miners pivoting to AI data centers face a roughly $50B near-term funding gap, with investors watching buildout execution and tenant quality.
Binance faces MiCA setback as Polymarket pegs 99.95% odds of $64K BTC dip
Two people familiar with the matter say Binance’s MiCA licence bid via Greece is expected to be rejected, jeopardizing its ability to serve EU clients starting in July.
BlackRock lists BITA as Polymarket pegs BTC above $56K at 99.95%
On June 16, BlackRock began trading its iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF (BITA) on Nasdaq, pairing Bitcoin exposure with a covered-call strategy aimed at monthly income.
BlackRock’s BITA debuts as Polymarket pegs 99.95% BTC above $52K
On June 16, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF (BITA) was set to start trading on Nasdaq, pairing Bitcoin exposure with call-writing to generate income.
BOJ hikes to 1% as Bitcoin holds $66K, Polymarket lifts $64K odds to 57%
At 03:19 UTC on June 16, the Bank of Japan lifted its key rate 25 bps to 1% and paused its bond taper, as bitcoin nudged up toward $66,000.
Standard Chartered flags BTC bottom, Polymarket sees 45% odds of $64K dip
Standard Chartered researcher Geoffrey Kendrick said bitcoin likely set a cycle low near $59,000, citing Strategy’s 1,587 BTC buy and $86 million in U.S. spot ETF inflows Friday.
Ark’s $500M SpaceX IPO bet lifts Polymarket odds of BTC hitting $68K
On SpaceX’s IPO day, Ark Invest amassed nearly 3.3 million shares worth over $500 million as the stock jumped 19% to close at $160.95.
Hormuz deal lifts Bitcoin as Polymarket prices 99.95% odds above $52K
The U.S. and Iran said they reached an interim pact to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, expected to be signed in Switzerland on Friday, as Bitcoin jumped near $65,700.
Bitcoin Odds Slip as June 15–21 Prices Hover Below 68k
On June 15–21, Polymarket’s Bitcoin price-ladder shows the ladder active with a June 22 resolution and 68,000 as the top current lead at 56% yes odds.
BTC Post near $60k as Polymarket ladder bets on June 12 outcome
On June 12, Polymarket traders focus on BTC breaching 60k as KKR flags AI-driven productivity gains and shifts in yuan trajectory.
