DONALD TRUMP PREDICTION MARKETS
Polymarket odds peg Starmer at 98% as next leader out before 2027
Reporting says Donald Trump’s choice to lead the CDC may face a smoother confirmation than other nominees, easing near-term political friction.
Polymarket odds: Vance holds 19.95% in 2028 market as Fed inflation talk hits
A new commentary quoted Kevin Warsh saying the Federal Reserve has “no tolerance” for rising inflation and that inflation “will be a thing of the past.” Polymarket traders watch how that narrative
Polymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jab
On July 15, Trump was quoted warning Iran the U.S. would “hit them very hard,” injecting near-term uncertainty into U.S.-Iran posture.
Polymarket odds put Starmer at 97.65% in 'next leader out' market
A recent analysis titled “No end in sight for new Iran war” argues the conflict is far from ending.
Polymarket: Trump out by July 31 priced at 0.55% as Senate bill fight simmers
In a Senate vote, Democrats blocked a $1.15 trillion defense authorization bill, signaling a near-term legislative standoff and procedural uncertainty.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.95% as Trump stays near 1%
About a month before Florida’s GOP primary, new polling shows Rep. Byron Donalds leading the field after repeated Trump endorsements.
Polymarket odds steady: RFK Jr. 49% for GOP 2028 nominee after Trump report
A report says Donald Trump backtracked on a proposed 20% toll demand tied to the Strait of Hormuz, but traders didn’t meaningfully reprice 2028 GOP nominee expectations.
Polymarket holds at 49% for RFK Jr. in 2028 GOP nominee market
On 2026-07-14, a Trump-focused piece titled “Donald Trump Presidency - Politico” was published, though the snippet offers no contract-specific drivers.
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.95% as 2028 leader, Trump at 1.35%
Donald Trump is expected to give a prime-time speech focusing on Iran and election integrity, a scheduled event that leaves room for markets to handicap expectations beforehand.
Polymarket pegs Starmer at 98% to be next leader out before 2027
New York is gearing up for a 2027 constitutional referendum that would allow mid-decade redistricting, with New York City turnout seen as pivotal to the outcome.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.95% as tape weakens after Graham report
Sen. Lindsey Graham was reported dead at 71, reshaping Senate math and looming fights like Todd Blanche’s July 15–16 hearings.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focus
A Texas-focused poll finds Hispanic respondents now angrier about Trump’s deportations after previously swinging toward him, putting immigration enforcement at the center of a shifting state
Polymarket prices Starmer at 98.5% in next leader out before 2027 market
A July 9–10 HarrisX poll of 1,019 registered voters found higher self-reported 2026 midterm voting intent among Trump/MAGA Republicans than Democrats, even as ballot tests leaned Democratic.
Polymarket prices 4% chance Trump acquires Greenland by 2027 as odds dip
A party-process story in Maine about Democrats applying 2024 lessons and a replacement process involving Platner is the latest headline tied to the Greenland question, but it offers no concrete
Polymarket odds show Vance leading 2028 field at 19.85%
A published analysis featuring CNN’s Harry Enten warns a “Democratic Socialist primary revolt” could become “a new Tea Party, but it’s on steroids,” reshaping coalitions and primary outcomes.
