WORLD CUP PREDICTION MARKETS
Trump seeks Balogun ban review as Polymarket puts Ronaldo tears at 16.5%
On Wednesday, Donald Trump said he called FIFA president Gianni Infantino to seek a review of Folarin Balogun’s red-card ban before the U.S. plays Belgium.
Leclerc wins chaotic British GP as Polymarket Golden Ball line holds at 50%
On Sunday, Charles Leclerc won the British Grand Prix for Ferrari after a late Safety Car, while Kimi Antonelli slipped from a likely win to 16th after damage and a penalty.
Knockout bracket firms up as Polymarket cuts first-time 2026 champ odds to 21.5%
With the 2026 World Cup group stage complete, knockout play has begun and the final is set for July 19, as the bracket locks in Round of 16 matchups like Canada–Morocco and Brazil–Norway.
Germany out on pens, Polymarket keeps 5+ missed kicks favored at 45.45%
Germany exited the 2026 World Cup after a 1-1 draw with Paraguay ended in a 4-3 penalty loss, with three German attempts missed or saved.
Scotland routed by Brazil as Polymarket pegs Iraq group exit at 98%
After Scotland’s 3-0 loss to Brazil left them seventh among third-placed teams, Steve Clarke said he thinks they’re heading home as qualification hinges on other results.
Bitcoin hits 20-month low as Polymarket keeps UEFA favorite at 69.5%
Bitcoin slid to a 20-month low as risk appetite weakened, underscoring a souring near-term tone across crypto markets.
World Cup prediction betting surges as Polymarket keeps Spain "Other" at 50%
About 11 days into the tournament, data showed $5.4 billion wagered on World Cup prediction markets, with Kalshi at $2.9 billion and Polymarket at $2.5 billion since last July.
UK heat alert ripples into sports ops as Polymarket toss odds hit 99.95%
The Met Office issued an Amber heat warning for southern and eastern England lasting into next week, with Wimbledon 2026 forecasts suggesting temperatures could top June’s UK record.
Stokes set for 3rd Test return as Polymarket puts 5+ World Cup misses at 61%
After an ECB disciplinary hearing, Ben Stokes and Gus Atkinson were named in England’s squad for the third Test vs New Zealand at Trent Bridge, following suspensions for a curfew breach.
Herbert warns NZ on Salah as Polymarket keeps Egypt 66% for Group G
On June 20, ex-All Whites coach Ricki Herbert urged New Zealand to stay disciplined and deny Egypt captain Mohamed Salah space in Sunday’s Vancouver clash.
CME to sue CFTC over Kalshi Bitcoin perp as Polymarket backs Brazil 66.5%
On May 29, the CFTC approved KalshiEX’s BTCPERP Bitcoin perpetual contract, prompting CME to say it will sue, arguing it should be regulated as a swap.
Dollar jumps after hawkish Fed as Polymarket keeps Mbappe Golden Boot favorite
On June 17, the U.S. dollar climbed a second day as Chair Kevin Warsh stressed inflation risks and traders priced in possible Fed hikes by late July.
Wahi cleared for Canada as Polymarket keeps Europe at 70.5% to win WC
Ivory Coast’s federation said Elye Wahi will be allowed into Canada for Saturday’s World Cup group match against Germany after earlier entry issues amid a Ligue 1 spot-fixing probe.
Diaspora eligibility debate lifts Canada to 60.5% on Polymarket to win Group B
Early World Cup results, including Morocco’s win over Brazil and Cape Verde’s draw with Spain, spotlighted how diaspora-developed players can reshape national teams under FIFA citizenship rules.
Portugal–Congo draw spotlights volatility as Polymarket keeps Europe at 70.5%
On June 17, 2026 in Houston, a Polymarket user wagered nearly $300,000 on Portugal not winning vs Congo and cashed after a 1-1 draw.