CEASEFIRE
Ceasefire
Polymarket keeps Iran regime-fall odds at 2.45% as ceasefire rift flares
At a NATO summit in Turkiye, a report says President Trump called the US–Iran ceasefire MOU “over,” after US strikes followed a promised pause tied to Ali Khamenei’s funeral.
Ceasefire
Iran ceasefire hits dollar as Polymarket odds for zero 2026 Fed cuts slip
After the U.S. and Iran agreed to a ceasefire, the U.S. dollar headed for its worst day since April as markets flipped risk-on.
