ELECTION ODDS
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as Trump sits at 1.35%
After his initial Georgia governor pick lost the GOP primary, President Donald Trump shifted to backing nominee Rick Jackson and called for party unity before a tight 2026 battleground race.
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nears
A report says the Senate is preparing to vote on Russia sanctions next week, putting the issue on the near-term political calendar.
Polymarket: Le Pen odds rise to 30.9% in France 2027 race on $115.6M
A Fox News poll write-up reported Democrats retook an edge on trust to handle the economy, their strongest since 2006, as inflation and affordability remain central.
Polymarket sees Lula at 60.5% in Brazil 2026 race after 11-point jump
An Arizona report said a Democrat-backed candidate flipped the Chandler mayor’s office, signaling a local political shift.
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.95% in crowded 2028 field after AZ primary
In Arizona, a report says the state Senate president who gave 2020 election records to the FBI won the Republican primary for attorney general.
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softens
A new commentary argues Trump’s public push for data centers could hand Democrats a messaging edge.
Polymarket: Vance tops 2028 odds at 19.85% as El-Sayed transcript hits
A full transcript featuring Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed was published, giving traders new searchable messaging to weigh without changing settlement rules.
Polymarket odds put Lula at 59.5% in Brazil race after 10-point jump
After President Donald Trump’s televised address revived 2020 election claims, a report highlights conflicting answers from Energy Secretary Chris Wright and DNI nominee Jay Clayton, despite audits
Polymarket odds: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as consensus softens
After a deadly Jordan attack on US troops, a report says the US struck Iran’s Revolutionary Guard in retaliation.
Polymarket odds: Lula jumps to 60.5% in Brazil race as $113.7M trades
After a Trump election-security speech sparked Democratic backlash over alleged false claims, attention turned again to how election-integrity rhetoric shapes politics.
Polymarket: Newsom slips to 20.65% in 2028 Dem nominee market
A newly published commentary warns Donald Trump could endanger U.S. democracy through alleged election-rigging efforts, amplifying election-integrity anxieties.
Polymarket odds: Vance holds 19.95% in 2028 market as Fed inflation talk hits
A new commentary quoted Kevin Warsh saying the Federal Reserve has “no tolerance” for rising inflation and that inflation “will be a thing of the past.” Polymarket traders watch how that narrative
Polymarket odds put Farage at 94.5% in Clacton by-election market
A report says a Russia sanctions bill could advance in Congress, with lawmakers eyeing the next procedural steps to honor Graham.
Polymarket prices Flávio Bolsonaro at 82.5% for Brazil 2026 first-round No. 2
Sen. Markwayne Mullin defended tying election-security funding to counterterrorism support in a new U.S. political headline, reigniting debate over how those dollars are structured.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focus
A Texas-focused poll finds Hispanic respondents now angrier about Trump’s deportations after previously swinging toward him, putting immigration enforcement at the center of a shifting state