FED RATES
Fed Rates
Polymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim bets
A macro/FX note on the Indian rupee says it has attracted bids as traders pare back expectations for U.S. Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Fed Rates
Polymarket odds jump to 86% for Fed hold in July after tariff inflation talk
A New York Fed post warned U.S. firms plan more tariff-linked price hikes over the next six months, with increases arriving in a staggered “trickle up” pattern as tariffs shift.