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FED RATES

Polymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim bets
Fed Rates

Polymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim bets

A macro/FX note on the Indian rupee says it has attracted bids as traders pare back expectations for U.S. Federal Reserve rate hikes.

Polymarket odds jump to 86% for Fed hold in July after tariff inflation talk
Fed Rates

Polymarket odds jump to 86% for Fed hold in July after tariff inflation talk

A New York Fed post warned U.S. firms plan more tariff-linked price hikes over the next six months, with increases arriving in a staggered “trickle up” pattern as tariffs shift.

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