GULF POLITICS
Gulf Politics
Russia escalates Ukraine strikes as Polymarket backs Pakistan for US-Iran talks
On July 4, 2026, Russian strikes hit multiple Ukrainian regions, killing four people in Sumy and sparking a major fire at a Kherson poultry farm.
Gulf Politics
Hormuz rhetoric shadows US-Iran talks as Polymarket deal odds tick to 25.5%
After day one of U.S.-Iran talks in Switzerland, U.S. stock futures slid and oil whipsawed as mediators cited “encouraging progress” even while Trump warned over any Hormuz closure.