INFLATION
Polymarket odds put July Fed hold at 93% after inflation broadens report
A new report described inflation as “broadening out,” citing a Goldman economist and suggesting price pressures are spreading beyond a few categories.
Polymarket odds swing to 94% Fed hold after softer inflation lifts BTC mood
Crypto investment products reportedly ended an $8B outflow streak after weaker US inflation data brightened Bitcoin sentiment.
Emerging Market Bonds Show Resilience Amid Fed Easing Bets
EM bonds maintain solid performance in 2026, driven by inflation control, high yields, and Chinese bond stability.
Polymarket prices 96% Fed hold in July as inflation fears shift odds
A market-focused report said silver fell as energy-driven inflation fears kept the Fed’s rate outlook elevated.
Polymarket: September Fed hold odds slip to 64% after Warsh hearings
After two days of House and Senate questioning, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh drew few major missteps as lawmakers pressed that prices are still rising too fast and he ordered reviews of inflation gauges.
Polymarket prices 99.95% odds BTC tops $52K by July 16 after cooler CPI
Bitcoin climbed about 3.6% to roughly $64,800 after June CPI cooled, with headline inflation at 3.5% and core at 2.6%, easing rate-hike fears.
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflation
Bitcoin climbed above $64,000 after a report said inflation eased, with Zcash and Pump.fun among rally leaders.
Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatter
After a softer US CPI print, the US Dollar Index slipped as investors reassessed how restrictive Fed policy may need to be at upcoming meetings.
Polymarket odds: July Fed hold at 93.5% after CPI cools hike fears
A macro note titled “US CPI report quietens Fed rate hike expectations” said the latest CPI eased pressure on the Fed to tighten ahead of the July 2026 meeting.
Polymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike drop to 58.5% after AI inflation talk
Minutes from the Fed’s June meeting cited tariffs and “AI-related price pressures” as drivers of higher core goods inflation, with energy and AI infrastructure demand adding to costs.
Polymarket odds lift to 79.5% for Fed hold in July after CPI risk note
A research note ahead of the CPI release warned that shifting Fed policy expectations could drive near-term stock volatility.
Polymarket odds jump to 86% for Fed hold in July after tariff inflation talk
A New York Fed post warned U.S. firms plan more tariff-linked price hikes over the next six months, with increases arriving in a staggered “trickle up” pattern as tariffs shift.
Cooling inflation bets lift BTC as Polymarket prices 99.95% above $48K
In the week ended July 5, Bitcoin rose nearly 7% and hovered near $62,066 as U.S. inflation breakevens slid, with the two-year rate dipping below 2%.
Banxico survey cools inflation view as Polymarket puts 2026 Fed no-cuts at 78%
Mexico’s central bank survey showed private economists now expect lower inflation, reinforcing a softer price outlook that can ripple into global rate assumptions.
Kocher flags easing inflation as Polymarket cuts 2026 Fed hike odds to 54.5%
At 08:42 on July 1, 2026, Austrian central bank governor Martin Kocher said European inflation is stabilizing as Middle East tensions ease, but uncertainty remains high.
