ISRAEL IRAN
Israel Iran
Polymarket sees 99.85% odds Israel–Iran ceasefire holds through July 18
The Netherlands is reported to plan a ban on products from Israeli settlements starting September 22, adding fresh political pressure in the region.
Israel Iran
Polymarket odds for Israel–Iran ceasefire ease to 99.65% after Kuwait claim
Iran said it targeted a US base in Kuwait with missiles, a headline that immediately nudged ceasefire-risk pricing in prediction markets.
Israel Iran
Polymarket odds peg Israel-Iran ceasefire at 99.6% through July 18
Over the past year, Israel’s Foreign Ministry said it handled a record number of antisemitic incidents abroad, underscoring heightened security pressure beyond Israel’s borders.
Israel Iran
Polymarket lifts Israel-Iran ceasefire odds to 97.6% through July 18
Kuwait reported injuries and damage to power, water, and an oil facility after an Iranian attack, adding fresh regional headline risk.