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JOBS REPORT

Polymarket prices 60% chance of 2026 Fed hike after weak June jobs report
Jobs Report

Polymarket prices 60% chance of 2026 Fed hike after weak June jobs report

June’s U.S. jobs report showed payrolls rising 57,000 versus 115,000 expected, with unemployment at 4.2% as participation slipped to 61.5%.

Jobs report resets July Fed outlook as Polymarket pegs no-change at 90.5%
Jobs Report

Jobs report resets July Fed outlook as Polymarket pegs no-change at 90.5%

A MUFG-cited research note says the latest US jobs data has reset expectations for the Fed’s path, reshaping positioning and dollar dynamics ahead of upcoming decisions.

Cooler June jobs report lifts Polymarket Fed hold odds to 90.5%
Jobs Report

Cooler June jobs report lifts Polymarket Fed hold odds to 90.5%

On Thursday, U.S. stocks split after June payrolls rose just 57,000 and jobless rate hit 4.2%, cooling expectations for the Fed’s next move.

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