OIL PRICES
Polymarket odds price Fed hold at 85% for July as oil risk reshapes outlook
A July 22, 2026 BNY note warned oil risk could cap the Indian rupee’s carry appeal, a macro signal that can shape views on how restrictive policy stays into the Fed’s July meeting.
Polymarket sees 99%+ odds BTC stays above $60K by July 12 amid oil risks
On July 9, Bitcoin stayed above $62,000 as renewed US-Iran fighting disrupted Strait of Hormuz traffic and pushed oil higher, stoking inflation and rate worries.
Trump scraps Iran MoU, oil jumps as Polymarket prices Hormuz normalcy at 0.85%
U.S. President Donald Trump said the Iran memorandum to end the conflict was “over” and warned of additional strikes Wednesday night, sending oil up and stocks lower.
Oil spike hits Bitcoin near $62K as Polymarket pegs $52K at 99.9%
Tuesday’s New York Fed survey showed 12-month inflation expectations rose to 3.7% as renewed U.S.-Iran airstrikes helped drive oil up about 5%, with Bitcoin hovering near $62,000 ahead of Fed
Oil jumps on U.S.-Iran tensions as Polymarket puts Hormuz fees at 76% by Dec 31
Brent climbed over 3% to $76.48 a barrel at 06:30 GMT after renewed U.S.-Iran fighting and attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran waiver revoked lifts oil, Polymarket keeps Starmer exit odds at 97.2%
Oil climbed about 5% after the United States revoked an Iran oil sanctions waiver, tightening expectations for Iranian crude flows and adding supply uncertainty.
Middle East tensions lift oil as Polymarket sees 82.5% odds Fed holds in July
U.S. Central Command said Tuesday evening the U.S. launched powerful strikes on Iran after attacks on three commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, helping lift WTI crude more than 2% above $72.
U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%
Brent crude rose about 0.9% Monday to $73.21 after U.S. Central Command said it struck Iran over alleged vessel attacks in the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil jumps on U.S.-Iran strikes as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 81.5%
West Texas Intermediate rose 0.71% to $69.72 after fresh U.S.-Iran strikes and a continued Strait of Hormuz blockade stoked supply fears.
Hormuz reopening cools oil shock as Polymarket no-cut 2026 Fed odds dip
Oil prices have slid since the Strait of Hormuz reopened, easing an energy-driven inflation threat as focus shifts to whether surging AI data-center and chip spending could add new price pressure.
Hormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%
Brent crude jumped up to 4% after the UN maritime agency halted an evacuation plan for ships near the Strait of Hormuz following a cargo-vessel attack.
US says Hormuz flows near normal; Polymarket July 15 return odds jump to 42.5%
Oil prices slid to pre-war levels on June 25 as the United States said Strait of Hormuz shipping was nearing normal, even as Iran’s Revolutionary Guards warned vessels to follow Tehran-designated
VanEck Flags Stagflation Risk as Iran Crisis Sparks Market Sell-Off
Geopolitical shocks from Iran conflict and weak jobs data trigger broad U.S. equity retreat. Oil surges past $98 as Strait of Hormuz disruption threatens 20% of global supply.
Iran Oil Tensions Push Brent Past $81 as AI Demand Adds Structural Pressure
VanEck analysis warns Middle East supply risks combined with AI-driven energy demand could shift oil markets from temporary spikes to sustained disruption.
