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Iran attack report clouds US-Iran talks as Polymarket Switzerland slips to 31%
Peace Talks

Iran attack report clouds US-Iran talks as Polymarket Switzerland slips to 31%

A report said Iran attacked Kuwait and Bahrain, reigniting US-Iran tensions and casting doubt on near-term logistics for follow-on talks.

Trump touts Iran progress as Polymarket cuts Qatar talks odds to 33.5%
Peace Talks

Trump touts Iran progress as Polymarket cuts Qatar talks odds to 33.5%

U.S. President Donald Trump said Iran has agreed to “just about everything” the United States needs, but offered no terms, timing, or location for any next meeting.

Algeria heads to July 2 vote as Polymarket keeps Qatar at 47.5% for talks
Peace Talks

Algeria heads to July 2 vote as Polymarket keeps Qatar at 47.5% for talks

On July 2, Algerians head to the polls to choose 407 lawmakers, with low turnout expected and reforms since the 2019 Hirak movement still contested.

Iraq sets militia deadline as Polymarket lifts Qatar odds for US-Iran talks
Peace Talks

Iraq sets militia deadline as Polymarket lifts Qatar odds for US-Iran talks

Iraq set a Sept. 30 deadline for pro-Iran militias to dissolve, according to a report, sharpening timelines around Tehran’s regional influence.

Trump alleges Iran Hormuz breach as Polymarket puts Jul 31 talks at 72%
Peace Talks

Trump alleges Iran Hormuz breach as Polymarket puts Jul 31 talks at 72%

Former President Donald Trump said Iran broke a ceasefire by firing on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, stoking new concern over maritime security.

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