POLYMARKET
Polymarket keeps 2028 GOP nominee odds flat as Trump Iran warning hits news
In a new report, Donald Trump warned Iran would be held responsible for any future Houthi attacks.
Polymarket odds peg Anthropic at 98% to top AI model by July end
The White House OSTP’s “Science: A New Golden Age” report calls for major changes in how federally funded research is run, even as it pairs pro-science rhetoric with proposed cuts.
Polymarket 2028 odds stay split as Vance leads 19.95% amid Trump tariff jitters
A new report says Trump has reignited a tariff fight despite legal setbacks, spooking GOP allies and rivals as they reposition.
Polymarket: Le Pen holds 30% in 2027 France race as reversal signal hits tape
A polling headline showed Democrats up 11 points on the U.S. generic congressional ballot, highlighting how cross-country political signals can spill into prediction markets.
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yields
A recent report pointed to surging oil prices and rising global bond yields, reviving inflation worries ahead of the Fed’s September meeting.
Polymarket: Hormuz normal-traffic odds stuck at 13.5% amid lawsuit fallout
On July 23, 2026, a report said sailors from a Thai cargo ship attacked in the Strait of Hormuz sued the ship’s owners, alleging ignored Iran warnings.
Polymarket prices Trump exit by July 31 at 0.25% despite tariff turmoil
A new report says Trump’s latest tariff push has entered an “ugly phase,” fueling voter backlash and friction with U.S. allies.
Polymarket prices 10.5% Iran regime fall odds before 2027 amid US strikes
A July 23 report says the US military completed a 12th straight night of strikes on Iran.
Polymarket lifts Iran invasion odds to 29.5% after 12th night of US strikes
U.S. forces carried out a 12th straight night of strikes on Iran, extending what’s being framed as a continuing campaign rather than a one-off action.
Polymarket: Le Pen odds rise to 30.9% in France 2027 race on $115.6M
A Fox News poll write-up reported Democrats retook an edge on trust to handle the economy, their strongest since 2006, as inflation and affordability remain central.
Polymarket odds double to 16.5% for Putin out by June 2027
Ukraine called an urgent UN Security Council meeting after Russian strikes reportedly halted traffic through Kyiv’s Black Sea maritime corridor during harvest season.
Polymarket prices Trump out-by-July at 45% as Pentagon Iran briefing hits
The Pentagon briefed House lawmakers on the Iran war amid rising regional tensions, according to a report.
Polymarket odds: Newsom leads 2028 Dem nominee at 19.75% after pullback
Matched-topic chatter spotlights reactions to a FOX poll described as rough for Republicans on the economy and affordability.
Polymarket boosts Eizenkot to 50% in Israel PM race after security headlines
Israeli police said two suspects in Shuafat were arrested over an alleged plan to attack Jerusalem, alongside weapons finds in A-Ram and broader seizures in Beit Hanina.
Polymarket holds 2028 GOP nominee odds flat as RFK Jr. stays at 49%
A report says Donald Trump endorsed Rick Jackson in Georgia’s gubernatorial race, highlighting Trump’s sway in down-ballot politics.
