POLYMARKET
Banxico survey cools inflation view as Polymarket puts 2026 Fed no-cuts at 78%
Mexico’s central bank survey showed private economists now expect lower inflation, reinforcing a softer price outlook that can ripple into global rate assumptions.
Bitcoin steadies near $58.6K as Polymarket puts 99.95% on $52K by July 3
In early July, Bitcoin traded around $58,600 after June saw about $4.5 billion in net outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, their worst month since launch.
Sha Tin race feed misfire as Polymarket Taiwan invasion Yes slips to 3.65%
A July 1, 2026 feed entry lists a Sha Tin Race 1 result for the “RACING GOES ON HANDICAP” with no snippet and no Taiwan-related details.
Knockout bracket firms up as Polymarket cuts first-time 2026 champ odds to 21.5%
With the 2026 World Cup group stage complete, knockout play has begun and the final is set for July 19, as the bracket locks in Round of 16 matchups like Canada–Morocco and Brazil–Norway.
Zelensky warns of major Russia strike as Polymarket holds RFK Jr at 49%
On Monday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned Russia is preparing a massive strike on Ukraine, raising fears of escalation.
White House to end USMCA extension as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.45%
A July 1 report said the White House will not extend the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade agreement, underscoring a harder line on the pact as trade politics intensify.
Vance floats AOC for 2028 as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 94.5%
In a recent interview, Vice President JD Vance said Rep.
Kocher flags easing inflation as Polymarket cuts 2026 Fed hike odds to 54.5%
At 08:42 on July 1, 2026, Austrian central bank governor Martin Kocher said European inflation is stabilizing as Middle East tensions ease, but uncertainty remains high.
ETF outflows weigh on Bitcoin near $58K as Polymarket sees 99.95% above $50K
Bitcoin traded around $58,000 as U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs logged eight straight weeks of outflows totaling nearly $2.2 billion, raising fears of a slide toward $53,000.
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%
On July 1, 2026, a TV report said the Iran war is redirecting tourists from the Middle East to Malaysia, Hong Kong, and Spain, though higher costs and fuel prices still bite.
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%
A July 1 report citing senior Iranian sources said Tehran is insisting on keeping control over the Strait of Hormuz, underscoring a hard line on authority over the waterway.
Colorado socialist upset lifts Polymarket: Lula at 57.5% for Brazil 2026
In Colorado, a self-described socialist unseated a 15-term Democratic congresswoman, spotlighting how quickly entrenched incumbents can fall.
Zelenskyy touts repeat Ufa strike as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40.55%
In a recent address, Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Ukraine hit Russia’s Ufa oil refinery for the second time in a week and also struck a missile-components plant in Penza, claims Russia hasn’t confirmed.
Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%
Democrats are intensifying a new push to counter Trump and Republicans on election integrity, spotlighting proposals they say could undermine confidence in voting.
Euro slips on cooler inflation as Polymarket boosts Fed hold odds to 79.5%
After fresh euro zone inflation data signaled cooling prices, the euro extended its reversal and slipped below 1.1400.
