POLYMARKET
Kalshi and Polymarket Hit $19B Volume in 2026 World Cup Betting
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket processed $19B during the 2026 World Cup, surpassing US sportsbooks and marking a milestone for DeFi betting.
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as Trump sits at 1.35%
After his initial Georgia governor pick lost the GOP primary, President Donald Trump shifted to backing nominee Rick Jackson and called for party unity before a tight 2026 battleground race.
Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swing
During a U.S. stock selloff, oil jumped on renewed Middle East conflict headlines as Treasury yields climbed and fed funds futures boosted the implied chance of a September hike.
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nears
A report says the Senate is preparing to vote on Russia sanctions next week, putting the issue on the near-term political calendar.
Polymarket holds Iran regime-fall odds at 10.5% as US-Iran strikes escalate
A U.S. military statement said it began a new round of strikes against Iran as clashes intensified around shipping routes near the Strait of Hormuz.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as voter-roll claims circulate
A newly published commentary says DHS identified 278,000 noncitizens on voter rolls, amplifying election-integrity debate around prediction markets.
Polymarket odds sink to 51.5% on Hormuz traffic normalizing by year-end
A report says President Donald Trump warned of the largest strikes on Iran yet after retaliatory attacks across the Gulf, as the Strait of Hormuz has been effectively shut since late February.
Polymarket odds lift Le Pen to 31% in 2027 French election market
A new data-driven analysis asks whether a Democratic Socialist could win a chaotic Wisconsin governor primary, spotlighting how crowded fields keep uncertainty high.
Polymarket prices Anthropic at 98% to top AI model by July amid kill switch bill
US lawmakers have floated the “AI Kill Switch Act,” letting the DHS Secretary order certain AI systems throttled or shut down and requiring built-in shutdown controls.
Polymarket invasion odds for Iran jump to 30.5% after Houthi-Riyadh headline
A new report warned another Middle East “oil artery” is under threat as the Houthis are described as “testing Riyadh,” amplifying escalation and shipping-risk concerns.
Polymarket sees 73% odds of July Fed hold as volatility stays high
A new explainer breaks down why some people say a promised “free $1,000” tied to a “Trump account” still hasn’t arrived and what to check next.
Polymarket keeps 2028 GOP nominee odds flat as Trump Iran warning hits news
In a new report, Donald Trump warned Iran would be held responsible for any future Houthi attacks.
Polymarket odds peg Anthropic at 98% to top AI model by July end
The White House OSTP’s “Science: A New Golden Age” report calls for major changes in how federally funded research is run, even as it pairs pro-science rhetoric with proposed cuts.
Polymarket 2028 odds stay split as Vance leads 19.95% amid Trump tariff jitters
A new report says Trump has reignited a tariff fight despite legal setbacks, spooking GOP allies and rivals as they reposition.
Polymarket: Le Pen holds 30% in 2027 France race as reversal signal hits tape
A polling headline showed Democrats up 11 points on the U.S. generic congressional ballot, highlighting how cross-country political signals can spill into prediction markets.