RUSSIA POLITICS
Polymarket odds for Putin exit by mid-2027 jump to 15.5% on EU sanctions
After weeks of negotiations, EU countries agreed a softened 21st Russia sanctions package targeting energy, finance, crypto and trade, while keeping the oil price cap frozen for 12 months.
Polymarket odds double to 16.5% for Putin out by June 2027
Ukraine called an urgent UN Security Council meeting after Russian strikes reportedly halted traffic through Kyiv’s Black Sea maritime corridor during harvest season.
Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 17.5%
In an evening address, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia is relying on ballistic missiles and urged faster air-defense deliveries after a large strike hit over a hundred sites.
Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 19% on $17.8M
Overnight, nearly 50 drones reportedly targeted Russia’s Moscow region, igniting fires at an oil depot in Noginsk and a Wildberries logistics site in Elektrostal.
Hungary ouster plan nudges Polymarket Putin-exit odds to 9.5%
A report says Hungary’s government is planning a constitutional change that would make it easier to initiate the president’s removal.
Vucic resignation plan lifts Polymarket odds of Putin exit to 12.5%
At a pro-government rally in Belgrade, Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic said he intends to resign within the next few weeks, paving the way for early elections.
Bolton guilty plea lifts Polymarket odds of Putin exit by 2026 to 13.5%
Former U.S. national security adviser John Bolton pleaded guilty Friday in federal court in Greenbelt, Maryland, to illegally retaining national defense information, with sentencing set for Oct. 28.
Wimbledon chatter fades as Polymarket puts United Russia at 64.5%
With Wimbledon set for June 29 to July 12, a live build-up feed tracked rolling scores and player updates, though the live blog was temporarily unavailable.