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STRAIT HORMUZ

Iran-Oman Hormuz transit fee talks hit odds: Polymarket sees 85.5% No
Strait Hormuz

Iran-Oman Hormuz transit fee talks hit odds: Polymarket sees 85.5% No

A new report says Iran and Oman are advancing plans to impose transit fees on ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz, despite U.S. opposition.

U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%
Strait Hormuz

U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%

Brent crude rose about 0.9% Monday to $73.21 after U.S. Central Command said it struck Iran over alleged vessel attacks in the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran warns on Hormuz as Polymarket July 15 normalization odds drop to 12.5%
Strait Hormuz

Iran warns on Hormuz as Polymarket July 15 normalization odds drop to 12.5%

Iran’s foreign minister said any challenge to the Strait of Hormuz would “increase tensions,” highlighting risks to the key shipping lane.

Iran strike report lifts Polymarket Hormuz normalization odds to 31.5%
Strait Hormuz

Iran strike report lifts Polymarket Hormuz normalization odds to 31.5%

A report said Iran targeted U.S. military positions in retaliation for earlier American airstrikes, raising fears of wider escalation and shipping disruptions.

US says Hormuz flows near normal; Polymarket July 15 return odds jump to 42.5%
Strait Hormuz

US says Hormuz flows near normal; Polymarket July 15 return odds jump to 42.5%

Oil prices slid to pre-war levels on June 25 as the United States said Strait of Hormuz shipping was nearing normal, even as Iran’s Revolutionary Guards warned vessels to follow Tehran-designated

Tanker exits Hormuz on new Oman route as Polymarket 'Yes' falls to 5.15%
Strait Hormuz

Tanker exits Hormuz on new Oman route as Polymarket 'Yes' falls to 5.15%

On Thursday, a Liberian oil tanker exited the Strait of Hormuz using a UN-promoted coastal route near Oman as mine threats linger and Iran-US tensions simmer over an interim accord.

Vance cites Iran progress; Polymarket puts Hormuz normal-traffic at 48.5%
Strait Hormuz

Vance cites Iran progress; Polymarket puts Hormuz normal-traffic at 48.5%

In Bürgenstock, Switzerland, U.S.

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