STRAIT HORMUZ
Iran-Oman Hormuz transit fee talks hit odds: Polymarket sees 85.5% No
A new report says Iran and Oman are advancing plans to impose transit fees on ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz, despite U.S. opposition.
U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%
Brent crude rose about 0.9% Monday to $73.21 after U.S. Central Command said it struck Iran over alleged vessel attacks in the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran warns on Hormuz as Polymarket July 15 normalization odds drop to 12.5%
Iran’s foreign minister said any challenge to the Strait of Hormuz would “increase tensions,” highlighting risks to the key shipping lane.
Iran strike report lifts Polymarket Hormuz normalization odds to 31.5%
A report said Iran targeted U.S. military positions in retaliation for earlier American airstrikes, raising fears of wider escalation and shipping disruptions.
US says Hormuz flows near normal; Polymarket July 15 return odds jump to 42.5%
Oil prices slid to pre-war levels on June 25 as the United States said Strait of Hormuz shipping was nearing normal, even as Iran’s Revolutionary Guards warned vessels to follow Tehran-designated
Tanker exits Hormuz on new Oman route as Polymarket 'Yes' falls to 5.15%
On Thursday, a Liberian oil tanker exited the Strait of Hormuz using a UN-promoted coastal route near Oman as mine threats linger and Iran-US tensions simmer over an interim accord.
Vance cites Iran progress; Polymarket puts Hormuz normal-traffic at 48.5%
In Bürgenstock, Switzerland, U.S.