US INVASION
Polymarket odds of US invasion of Iran rise to 20.5% after strike reports
Iran’s top negotiator said an interim peace understanding was voided after U.S.
Polymarket odds of US invading Iran before 2027 jump to 19% on report
After a third night of U.S. strikes, a report says President Donald Trump threatened to hit Iran’s fortified “Pickaxe Mountain” nuclear site and demanded 20% of Strait of Hormuz cargo value.
Polymarket odds of US invading Iran rise to 16.5% after strike footage report
The U.S. military reportedly released footage described as showing new strikes on Iran, renewing escalation fears.
Polymarket: US invade Iran odds rise to 14.5% on talks and ceasefire noise
Trump said the U.S. would keep talks after Iran sought negotiations, then wrote the June 17 ceasefire is “over,” as Tehran disputed the request and clashes persisted near Hormuz traffic.
Khamenei funeral draws crowds as Polymarket sees 11.5% odds of US invading Iran
On the second day of funeral ceremonies in Tehran, Iranian TV showed Mostafa, Meysam and Masoud Khamenei praying behind coffins at the Imam Khomeini Grand Mosalla as Mojtaba remained absent.
