US IRAN
Us Iran
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikes
A report says the U.S. military reimposed a blockade on Iranian ports and launched hours-long strikes on dozens of targets after attacks on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Us Iran
Polymarket odds of US invading Iran before 2027 rise to 15.5% on $40M
On July 10, 2026, an analysis said the U.S. is pivoting from direct pressure on Iran to a hybrid, multilayered attrition strategy built around coalitions and peripheral reshaping.
Us Iran
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion Yes to 16.5% after renewed attacks
A report says U.S. and Iranian forces traded attacks for a second day after Trump said the ceasefire was “over,” with U.S. strikes on about 90 coastal targets and Iran hitting sites linked to U.S.
