Federalreserve

Polymarket prices 96% Fed hold in July as inflation fears shift odds
Federalreserve

Polymarket prices 96% Fed hold in July as inflation fears shift odds

A market-focused report said silver fell as energy-driven inflation fears kept the Fed’s rate outlook elevated.

Polymarket odds hold: 66.5% for September Fed no-change
Federalreserve

Polymarket odds hold: 66.5% for September Fed no-change

Ahead of key U.S. employment data, Treasury yields ticked higher, with the 10-year at 4.573% and the 2-year at 4.158% as markets weighed fresh disinflation signals.

Polymarket: Messi odds jump to 41% in 2026 Ballon d’Or market
Federalreserve

Polymarket: Messi odds jump to 41% in 2026 Ballon d’Or market

A new video segment said an analyst expects Apple to keep growing in Q2 despite price hikes, citing pulled-forward China demand and potential regulatory approval for Apple AI and Alibaba’s model.

Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M trades
Federalreserve

Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M trades

A market note said gold fell as Iran-related tensions eased inflation-risk fears, boosting the dollar and reviving talk the Fed could stay hawkish.

Polymarket prices 2026 Fed at 82% no cuts as yuan note fails to shift odds
Federalreserve

Polymarket prices 2026 Fed at 82% no cuts as yuan note fails to shift odds

A new research note titled “Chinese Yuan: Upside bias against US Dollar” pitches near-term CNY strength versus USD, framed as an FX tilt rather than a Fed forecast.

Polymarket: September Fed hold odds slip to 64% after Warsh hearings
Federalreserve

Polymarket: September Fed hold odds slip to 64% after Warsh hearings

After two days of House and Senate questioning, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh drew few major missteps as lawmakers pressed that prices are still rising too fast and he ordered reviews of inflation gauges.

Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65K
Federalreserve

Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65K

Bitcoin rose above $65,000 this week, with the move credited to easing inflation and momentum around the “Clarity Act.” Polymarket traders care because the July 2026 Fed ladder now clusters on “No

Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimony
Federalreserve

Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimony

On Tuesday, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faced the Senate Banking Committee after testifying to the House a day earlier, reiterating his inflation focus but offering few policy clues.

Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflation
Federalreserve

Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflation

Bitcoin climbed above $64,000 after a report said inflation eased, with Zcash and Pump.fun among rally leaders.

Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatter
Federalreserve

Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatter

After a softer US CPI print, the US Dollar Index slipped as investors reassessed how restrictive Fed policy may need to be at upcoming meetings.