Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 18% on $17.5M volume
A Mexico updates feed this week featured South Texas flood warnings, ICE-custody death probes, and 2026 World Cup ticket and fan-event items, with no mention of Russian leadership.
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threat
A July 15 report said Trump threatened strikes on Iran’s power plants next week if no deal emerges, adding escalation risk around Strait of Hormuz security expectations.
Polymarket odds: Vance holds 19.95% in 2028 market as Fed inflation talk hits
A new commentary quoted Kevin Warsh saying the Federal Reserve has “no tolerance” for rising inflation and that inflation “will be a thing of the past.” Polymarket traders watch how that narrative
Polymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim bets
A macro/FX note on the Indian rupee says it has attracted bids as traders pare back expectations for U.S. Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Polymarket prices 99.95% odds BTC tops $52K by July 16 after cooler CPI
Bitcoin climbed about 3.6% to roughly $64,800 after June CPI cooled, with headline inflation at 3.5% and core at 2.6%, easing rate-hike fears.
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflation
Bitcoin climbed above $64,000 after a report said inflation eased, with Zcash and Pump.fun among rally leaders.
Polymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jab
On July 15, Trump was quoted warning Iran the U.S. would “hit them very hard,” injecting near-term uncertainty into U.S.-Iran posture.
Polymarket prices 18% odds Putin is out by June 2027 on $17M volume
In a recent report, President Donald Trump said Congress could soon approve a new Russia sanctions bill and was asked if he might sign it within a week or two.
Polymarket: Iran Hormuz fee odds dip to 72% for Dec 31 after ship attacks
A top US commander in the Middle East said Iran attacked seven commercial ships in the past week, heightening maritime-risk worries.
Polymarket: Iran invasion Yes jumps to 19.5% after Kish strike report
A headline about a fire on Iran’s Kish after U.S. strikes spread on July 14, 2026, and traders treated it as an escalation catalyst.