Polymarket

Polymarket odds: Eizenkot tops Israel PM market at 42.7% on $26.9M
Polymarket

Polymarket odds: Eizenkot tops Israel PM market at 42.7% on $26.9M

A report said United Torah Judaism chair Moshe Gafni threatened to vote against a bill weakening the attorney general after ultra-Orthodox kindergarten funding was pulled from the agenda.

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as 2028 field stays fragmented
Polymarket

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as 2028 field stays fragmented

The DCCC chair predicted Democrats will retake the House in a new report, framing Trump’s record as a central messaging target heading into 2026.

Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimony
Polymarket

Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimony

On Tuesday, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faced the Senate Banking Committee after testifying to the House a day earlier, reiterating his inflation focus but offering few policy clues.

Polymarket Taiwan 2026 invasion Yes odds drop to 3.75% on $38.6M volume
Polymarket

Polymarket Taiwan 2026 invasion Yes odds drop to 3.75% on $38.6M volume

On 15 Jul 2026, the only linked update was a Happy Valley Race 1 result, offering no Taiwan-related catalyst.

Polymarket: Trump out by July 31 odds slip to 0.45% after Iran strikes
Polymarket

Polymarket: Trump out by July 31 odds slip to 0.45% after Iran strikes

On 2026-07-15, a report said the US launched new strikes on Iran, escalating a key geopolitical flashpoint.

Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup final
Polymarket

Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup final

On Wednesday in Dallas, Spain beat France 2-0 to reach Sunday’s World Cup final, with Mikel Oyarzabal scoring a penalty and Pedro Porro adding another.

Polymarket odds: Newsom leads 2028 Dem nominee at 20% as DDHQ outlook hits
Polymarket

Polymarket odds: Newsom leads 2028 Dem nominee at 20% as DDHQ outlook hits

A fresh DDHQ forecast calls for Democrats to win the House while the Senate sits 50-50 in November.

Polymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation report
Polymarket

Polymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation report

Late Tuesday night, a report said Iran struck Kuwait, Bahrain, and Jordan and claimed it destroyed the US Fifth Fleet’s command centre after talks collapsed.

Polymarket odds peg Starmer at 98% as next leader out before 2027
Polymarket

Polymarket odds peg Starmer at 98% as next leader out before 2027

Reporting says Donald Trump’s choice to lead the CDC may face a smoother confirmation than other nominees, easing near-term political friction.

Polymarket odds put Farage at 96% in Clacton by-election market
Polymarket

Polymarket odds put Farage at 96% in Clacton by-election market

After an ICE agent fatally shot Colombian national Joan Sebastián Guerrero in Maine, a fundraiser has raised nearly $300,000 and ICE reportedly paused most vehicle stops amid the investigation.