Polymarket prices 99.8% odds BTC tops $54K by July 15 amid BIP-110 debate
A report says the controversial BIP-110 plan to restrict arbitrary Bitcoin data for a year is nearing an early-August deadline as miner signaling sits near zero.
Polymarket prices 99.95% odds Bitcoin tops $54K by July 14
In 2026, CoreWeave reportedly raised over $20 billion, including a $3.1 billion GPU-backed loan, as Bitcoin sits more than 50% below its $126,000 peak.
Polymarket prices Eizenkot at 40% in tight Israel PM race after US-Lebanon talks
US and Lebanese military delegations met in Beirut to discuss a US-brokered framework’s first phase for an Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, with more talks expected in Rome next week.
Polymarket prices 60% chance of 2026 Fed hike after weak June jobs report
June’s U.S. jobs report showed payrolls rising 57,000 versus 115,000 expected, with unemployment at 4.2% as participation slipped to 61.5%.
Polymarket odds for Iran Gulf action fall to 66.5% after Hormuz claim
Iran’s IRGC said the Strait of Hormuz was closed in response to US interference, as Israel’s attacks in Gaza and Lebanon continued with reported civilian casualties.
Polymarket odds: Putin out by June 2027 rises to 18% amid Ukraine war escalation
Russian missiles and drones struck Kyiv and Odesa this week, with Ukraine reporting injuries and deaths, as Zelenskyy pressed NATO on commitments amid dwindling munitions.
Polymarket odds peg BTC above $64K at 56.5% ahead of July 14 CPI
Bitcoin traded near $64,100 after a roughly 2.6% weekly rebound, with the U.S. CPI due July 14 as the next macro catalyst.
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot 39.4% leads Netanyahu in Israel PM race
Sen. Lindsey Graham reportedly died at 71 after a brief illness, his office said, as South Carolina weighs steps to appoint a temporary replacement.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focus
A Texas-focused poll finds Hispanic respondents now angrier about Trump’s deportations after previously swinging toward him, putting immigration enforcement at the center of a shifting state
Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by Jul 15 at 0.35% Yes
A new report details rising Iran–US tensions and dueling claims about Strait of Hormuz shipping, even as mediator channels stay active and Iran’s hardliners talk retaliation.