Prediction Markets

Polymarket holds steady: RFK Jr. 49% in GOP 2028 nominee market
Prediction Markets

Polymarket holds steady: RFK Jr. 49% in GOP 2028 nominee market

A new AI-focused report on how technology took the field at the World Cup appeared in the feed, but offered no fresh political details tied to 2028.

Polymarket odds lift to 63.5% for US halting Iran ops by Aug. 31
Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds lift to 63.5% for US halting Iran ops by Aug. 31

Ukraine said a Russian ballistic-missile strike was the largest yet, a fresh sign of escalating conflict.

Polymarket odds slip to 48.5% for US–Iran ceasefire by Aug. 31
Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds slip to 48.5% for US–Iran ceasefire by Aug. 31

After two US service members were killed in Jordan, the US military launched new airstrikes on Iran targeting Revolutionary Guard-linked infrastructure as strike exchanges continued and the Strait of

Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 19% on $17.8M
Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 19% on $17.8M

Overnight, nearly 50 drones reportedly targeted Russia’s Moscow region, igniting fires at an oil depot in Noginsk and a Wildberries logistics site in Elektrostal.

Polymarket odds for US-Iran invasion by 2027 jump to 31.5% on $44.6M
Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds for US-Iran invasion by 2027 jump to 31.5% on $44.6M

On July 18, 2026, a World Cup 2026 video roundup previewed an Argentina–Spain final with comments from Messi and Rodri.

Polymarket prices Starmer exit-before-2027 at 99.4% on $66.9M volume
Prediction Markets

Polymarket prices Starmer exit-before-2027 at 99.4% on $66.9M volume

A rolling elections news roundup this week pushed fresh leadership-turnover headlines across multiple jurisdictions.

Polymarket keeps Messi at 90.6% for Golden Ball after Mbappe Golden Boot lead
Prediction Markets

Polymarket keeps Messi at 90.6% for Golden Ball after Mbappe Golden Boot lead

France’s Kylian Mbappe scored twice in the third-place match to go two goals ahead of Lionel Messi, with both tied on four assists ahead of Argentina vs Spain in the final.

Polymarket: Le Pen 32% in 2027 French race, volume tops $114.8M
Prediction Markets

Polymarket: Le Pen 32% in 2027 French race, volume tops $114.8M

A Sunday-shows preview this week spotlighted renewed U.S. election-claim disputes and said the Iran war shows no sign of ending, shaping the macro political backdrop.

Polymarket sees BTC above $52K on July 20 at 99.95% despite risk headlines
Prediction Markets

Polymarket sees BTC above $52K on July 20 at 99.95% despite risk headlines

A new report argues Bitcoin could be the first market to react this weekend to Strait of Hormuz shipping risks, with oil and equity markets shut and thin liquidity amplifying swings.

Polymarket keeps Iran regime-fall odds at 10.5% as escalation headlines swirl
Prediction Markets

Polymarket keeps Iran regime-fall odds at 10.5% as escalation headlines swirl

Iranian state TV read a statement attributed to the supreme leader warning the US of “unforgettable lessons,” as both sides accused each other of breaching a recent MoU and called it “over.”