Prediction Markets

Polymarket pegs 'History' call at 94.95% for Argentina–Spain final
Prediction Markets

Polymarket pegs 'History' call at 94.95% for Argentina–Spain final

The 2026 World Cup in North America has reached its finale, with Spain set to face Argentina, and a new streaming guide details mobile and country-by-country options to watch live.

Polymarket odds swing to 94% Fed hold after softer inflation lifts BTC mood
Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds swing to 94% Fed hold after softer inflation lifts BTC mood

Crypto investment products reportedly ended an $8B outflow streak after weaker US inflation data brightened Bitcoin sentiment.

Polymarket boosts Eizenkot to 49% after Likud vote injunction
Prediction Markets

Polymarket boosts Eizenkot to 49% after Likud vote injunction

A district court injunction halted a planned Likud convention vote over disputed primary rules, prompting party officials to cancel the session.

Polymarket odds put Messi at 90.95% for Golden Ball as $11.1M trades
Prediction Markets

Polymarket odds put Messi at 90.95% for Golden Ball as $11.1M trades

Argentina’s knockout run recap cast Lautaro Martinez as a late-tournament difference-maker, from key substitute minutes to a stoppage-time header against England that booked a final with Spain.

Polymarket sees September Fed hold odds at 60.5% as CLARITY Act touted
Prediction Markets

Polymarket sees September Fed hold odds at 60.5% as CLARITY Act touted

Lawmakers are pitching the CLARITY Act as a way to boost crypto innovation while adding regulatory certainty, according to a new report.

Polymarket holds Iran regime-fall Yes at 10.5% despite strike escalation
Prediction Markets

Polymarket holds Iran regime-fall Yes at 10.5% despite strike escalation

For a sixth straight night, a report says the U.S. widened airstrikes on Iran, hitting bridges, energy sites, and a key-port tower as Hormuz fighting intensified.

Polymarket prices Starmer at 99% to be next leader out before 2027
Prediction Markets

Polymarket prices Starmer at 99% to be next leader out before 2027

A full-length political video shows Maine Democrats hosting a forum with eight candidates to replace Graham Platner, offering campaign context rather than a single trigger.

Polymarket keeps Aug. 31 US–Iran ceasefire odds at 51.5% after 7 nights
Prediction Markets

Polymarket keeps Aug. 31 US–Iran ceasefire odds at 51.5% after 7 nights

Fresh live updates report the US and Iran traded attacks for a seventh straight night, underscoring an unresolved conflict. Polymarket traders care because the ceasefire ladder still puts the Aug.

Polymarket: US-Iran invasion odds jump to 27.5% on $44M volume
Prediction Markets

Polymarket: US-Iran invasion odds jump to 27.5% on $44M volume

A report cited explosions in Yazd and other parts of Iran during what it called a latest wave of U.S. strikes, renewing escalation concerns.

Polymarket holds steady in 2028 GOP nominee market as Trump approval ticks up
Prediction Markets

Polymarket holds steady in 2028 GOP nominee market as Trump approval ticks up

A July 6–14, 2026 Napolitan News Service poll of 2,000 registered voters put President Donald Trump’s net job approval at -9 (44% approve, 53% disapprove), his best in about three months.