Polymarket prices 'History' at 95% for Argentina–Spain broadcast phrase ladder
A betting-focused preview says Spain’s defense fueled their World Cup run, noting France managed no shot on target until the 64th minute in a semi-final and pointing to one messy concession vs
Polymarket: Taiwan invasion odds drop to 3.95% as Middle East risks flare
A report said the US struck bridges in Iran, and Tehran hit a power and desalination plant in Kuwait as maritime incidents flared near Hormuz and Yemen after a ceasefire collapsed.
Polymarket odds: Trump out by July 31 seen as long shot despite endorsement
A report said Donald Trump backed Lindsey Graham’s sister in a Republican Senate primary, highlighting GOP endorsement maneuvering.
Polymarket odds lift Le Pen to 33% in 2027 French election market
A new poll shows Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms leading Republican Rick Jackson in Georgia’s open-seat governor’s race as turnout and crossover voting loom large.
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as DHS enforcement story hits
A report says the DHS secretary is threatening fines and even prison time for election officials who don’t comply, sharpening enforcement risks around election administration.
Polymarket odds hold at 99.95% for BTC above $54K by July 20
On July 16, a Rotterdam court declared Dutch crypto exchange Knaken and its payments foundation bankrupt after customers were locked out and prosecutors flagged about €7 million missing.
Polymarket puts Putin-out-by-2027 at 18.5% as ladder prices tilt later
A fact-check report reviewed a primetime speech in which President Donald Trump repeated unverified 2020 election claims, saying official assessments found no vote totals were technically altered.
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 22.5% on Gulf strike escalation
Overnight reports said Iran fired missiles and drones across parts of the Gulf as the U.S.
Polymarket odds keep Starmer exit near 99% as Trump outcome stays at 0.15%
A new political commentary argues Donald Trump’s election-focused posture could backfire in the midterms.
Polymarket prices US-Iran ceasefire by Aug 31 at 53.5% as Knesset dissolves
Israel’s parliament dissolved, triggering an October 27 election framed as a referendum on Netanyahu and the wars in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran.