Prediction Markets
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or market
A research note said the Hungarian forint’s rally against the euro is being reassessed after rate cuts, underscoring how quickly expectations can shift.
Polymarket odds: United Russia at 56.5% after drone strike headlines
Ukrainian drones reportedly hit two Wildberries distribution centers in Russia’s Krasnodar and Stavropol regions, injuring several people and sparking a large firefighting response, with Kyiv
Polymarket odds for US invasion of Iran before 2027 jump to 27.5%
On July 22, 2026, a report said Iranian air defenses activated and explosions were heard over Tehran as the U.S. military marked an 11th straight day of strikes, with fires reported in Behbahan.
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.95% in crowded 2028 field after AZ primary
In Arizona, a report says the state Senate president who gave 2020 election records to the FBI won the Republican primary for attorney general.
Polymarket odds: 99.95% BTC stays above $54K by July 24 amid macro rally
Bitcoin hovered near $66,300 around a two-week high as AI-linked chip stocks rallied and the yen slid past 163 per dollar for the first time since 1986.
Polymarket: No US-Iran talks by Sept. 30 leads at 24.6% after Rubio warning
In Manila at an ASEAN gathering, Secretary of State Marco Rubio warned Iran’s reported push to control and collect tolls in the Strait of Hormuz could endanger global shipping and the world economy.
Polymarket prices Trump out-by-July 31 bet at 0.45 Yes with $1.85M volume
Republican strategists in Arizona are pitching a comeback narrative around a Hobbs–Biggs governor matchup, underscoring how campaign chatter can muddy national timelines.
Polymarket keeps El-Sayed at 80% to win Michigan Dem Senate primary
In Arizona’s House Democratic primary, Rep. Greg Stanton beat a progressive challenger, underscoring how incumbents can fend off left-flank bids.
Polymarket odds swing to Eizenkot at 51% in Israel PM market on $28.9M
New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani said the city cannot execute an ICC arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu, even as he urged federal action ahead of the U.N. General Assembly in September.
Polymarket odds for Hormuz normal traffic drop to 54% after Iran strike reports
Reports said the US military carried out an eleventh straight night of strikes on Iran, with blasts near Tabriz and air defenses active around Tehran, aimed at limiting threats to Strait of Hormuz