Polymarket odds: Le Pen rises to 30% in 2027 France election market
Republican lawmakers voiced renewed concern about Iran as a ceasefire was reported to be unraveling, underscoring how sudden security shocks can reshape broader political risk narratives.
Polymarket odds sink as Hormuz July 31 normalization seen unlikely
Vessel crossings through the Strait of Hormuz kept falling, a new report says, blaming the continued slide on fresh US–Iran attacks.
Polymarket holds GOP 2028 nominee odds steady as Trump-Iran headline lands
A new Politico analysis says Donald Trump is entering a bleak Iran-related phase that could become a quagmire for his political standing.
Polymarket odds: Syrskyi out by Dec 31 at 88.75% on Zelensky reshuffle talk
A report says Volodymyr Zelensky is weighing replacing Armed Forces chief Oleksandr Syrskyi with Maj. Gen. Mykhailo Drapaty, though sources disagree on timing and whether a final decision exists.
Polymarket odds for July Fed hold jump to 93% after Bitcoin tops $65K
Bitcoin climbed above $65,000 as broader market sentiment turned risk-on, with VIRTUAL and UNI holding gains.
Polymarket invasion odds for Iran jump to 26.5% on $45.7M volume
Near Second Thomas Shoal, Chinese and Philippine vessels clashed, injuring a Philippine sailor, as Washington condemned China’s conduct and Manila hosted regional talks.
Polymarket odds: Trump out by Jul 31 at 0.35% after Minnesota ruling
A Trump-nominated judge reportedly ruled against him in a key Minnesota case, fueling fresh legal chatter.
Polymarket prices 16.5% Putin exit by June 2027 as ladder shifts long-dated
Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces reported striking seven “shadow fleet” vessels in the Azov and Black Seas and hitting air defenses and energy sites, including Crimea.
Polymarket: Vance holds 19.85% in 2028 market as Trump stays 1.45%
Democrats are scrambling to counter Donald Trump’s renewed attacks on Iran, highlighting internal debate over how to respond to his rhetoric and actions.
Polymarket odds: Farage holds 95% in Clacton by-election market
Sen. Markwayne Mullin said federal authorities are actively pursuing a threat tied to a World Cup fan festival, signaling an ongoing security response.