Polymarket odds for US invasion of Iran before 2027 jump to 27.5%
U.S. average gas prices climbed back above $4 as Washington intensified airstrikes against Iran and Iran attacked U.S.
Polymarket odds imply no Fed cuts in 2026 at 85% after AI risk-off note
A technical-analysis note said the AI trade’s bounce may be a head fake after a nearly 19% pullback in an AI-themed ETF, with weekly momentum turning bearish and more downside possible.
Polymarket odds flat: RFK Jr. 49% for 2028 GOP nod as Trump news fades
Ontario’s premier publicly urged Donald Trump to stop wildfire-related insults and instead help allies, highlighting the dispute’s tone rather than any 2028 shift.
Polymarket odds: Newsom slips to 19.85% in 2028 Dem nominee market
In Maine, chatter after Platner’s exit said Troy Jackson is poised to take over the baton, highlighting a near-term local leadership handoff.
Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 16% after Duma exile bill push
Russia’s State Duma is set to fast-track a bill midweek that would curb exiled anti-war Russians’ access to online banking, property deals, and consular services, pending Putin’s signature.
Polymarket: Vance tops 2028 odds at 19.85% as El-Sayed transcript hits
A full transcript featuring Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed was published, giving traders new searchable messaging to weigh without changing settlement rules.
Polymarket invasion odds on Iran jump to 24.5% after Gulf attack report
Reports say Iran launched fresh attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain, signaling near-term escalation in the Gulf. Polymarket traders are watching for spillover into U.S.-Iran conflict risk, with the “U.S.
Polymarket odds for US-Iran ceasefire by Aug 31 rise to 58.5%
Overnight, a report said U.S. strikes hit two Iranian provinces, killing one and injuring several, adding fresh escalation to the timeline traders are tracking.
Polymarket prices Trump staying in office by July 31 as Iran tensions rise
A report says the US expanded attacks on Iran after another American service member was killed, sharpening escalation concerns.
Polymarket odds show 2028 field split as Vance leads at 19.85%
A new analysis titled “Can Solar Succeed in Trump’s Washington?” spotlights how solar policy could fare under a future Trump-led federal government, reshaping perceived sector winners and losers.