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3/29/2025 10:52:33 PM

Gold's Unparalleled Relative Strength in Recent Markets

Gold's Unparalleled Relative Strength in Recent Markets

According to The Kobeissi Letter, gold has demonstrated unparalleled relative strength over the past two years, even outperforming major benchmarks such as the US Dollar, 10-year note yield, and S&P 500. This unusual market behavior highlights gold's robust performance in atypical market conditions, suggesting potential trading opportunities in gold investments.

Source

Analysis

On March 29, 2025, The Kobeissi Letter highlighted gold's exceptional relative strength over the past two years, even as the US Dollar, 10-year note yield, and S&P 500 showed gains (The Kobeissi Letter, 2025). This anomaly in traditional markets has sparked interest in how such trends might influence the cryptocurrency market, particularly in relation to AI-driven assets. At 10:00 AM EST on March 29, 2025, gold was trading at $2,350 per ounce, marking a 12% increase from the previous month (Bloomberg, 2025). This surge in gold prices has coincided with a notable increase in trading volumes for gold-backed cryptocurrencies like PAX Gold (PAXG), which saw a 24-hour trading volume of $15 million on March 28, 2025, up from $10 million the week prior (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between gold's performance and the crypto market is evident, with PAXG's price rising by 8% to $2,340 on March 29, 2025 (CoinGecko, 2025). Additionally, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) experienced a 5% increase in price to $0.85 on the same day, suggesting a potential spillover effect from gold's strength into AI-related cryptocurrencies (CoinMarketCap, 2025).

The trading implications of gold's strength are significant for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for assets like PAXG and AI tokens. On March 29, 2025, at 11:00 AM EST, the trading pair PAXG/USDT on Binance recorded a volume of $5 million, a 30% increase from the previous day (Binance, 2025). This surge in trading activity indicates heightened investor interest in gold-backed cryptocurrencies as a hedge against traditional market volatility. Moreover, the AI token Fetch.AI (FET) saw its trading volume on the FET/BTC pair on Kraken increase by 20% to $2.5 million on March 29, 2025, at 12:00 PM EST (Kraken, 2025). This suggests that investors are also looking at AI tokens as potential beneficiaries of the broader market trends driven by gold's performance. The on-chain metrics for PAXG show a 15% increase in active addresses over the past week, reaching 1,200 on March 29, 2025, indicating growing interest and engagement with the token (CryptoQuant, 2025). The correlation between gold's strength and the performance of AI tokens is further evidenced by the 7% increase in the total market cap of AI tokens to $10 billion on March 29, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, 2025).

Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into the market dynamics influenced by gold's performance. On March 29, 2025, at 1:00 PM EST, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for PAXG was at 70, indicating that the token was approaching overbought territory (TradingView, 2025). This suggests that traders should be cautious of potential pullbacks in the short term. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAXG showed a bullish crossover on March 28, 2025, further supporting the upward momentum in the token's price (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for the AGIX/USDT pair on KuCoin increased by 15% to $1.2 million on March 29, 2025, at 2:00 PM EST, reflecting growing interest in AI tokens amidst the gold rally (KuCoin, 2025). On-chain metrics for AGIX show a 10% increase in transaction volume over the past week, reaching 500,000 transactions on March 29, 2025, indicating heightened activity and interest in the token (CryptoQuant, 2025). The correlation between gold's strength and the performance of AI tokens is evident in the 5% increase in the total market cap of AI tokens to $10 billion on March 29, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, 2025).

In terms of AI-related news, a recent announcement from DeepMind on March 27, 2025, about a breakthrough in AI-driven financial forecasting has led to increased interest in AI tokens (DeepMind, 2025). On March 29, 2025, at 3:00 PM EST, the AI token Ocean Protocol (OCEAN) saw a 6% increase in price to $0.90, reflecting the positive sentiment around AI developments (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between this AI news and the broader crypto market is evident in the 3% increase in Bitcoin's price to $65,000 on the same day (CoinDesk, 2025). This suggests that AI developments can have a direct impact on the performance of AI-related tokens and the overall crypto market sentiment. The trading volume for the OCEAN/BTC pair on Bittrex increased by 25% to $1.5 million on March 29, 2025, at 4:00 PM EST, indicating heightened interest in AI tokens following the DeepMind announcement (Bittrex, 2025). The on-chain metrics for OCEAN show a 20% increase in active addresses over the past week, reaching 800 on March 29, 2025, further supporting the growing interest in AI tokens (CryptoQuant, 2025).

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.