FEDERAL RESERVE
The Federal Reserve System is the central bank of the United States. "The Federal Reserve System was created on December 23, 1913, when President Woodrow Wilson signed the Federal Reserve Act into law." Federal Reserve has control over monetary policy exclusively for the benefit of the United States. Typical monetary functions are money issuance, money price, interest rate, and more. Since the US Dollar has served as the de facto world currency. Federal Reserve has inevitable influences on the stability of the monetary and financial system and monetary policies of other countries.
Polymarket prices 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.8% after decoupling comments
A China-focused investor warned that finance, not AI, is China’s bigger constraint, citing reliance on U.S. capital and rising frictions around cross-border fundraising and listings.
Polymarket prices Sept Fed hold at 60.5% as hike odds stay elevated
A research note on the Singapore dollar says upside risk versus the US dollar is building as rate differentials and the US macro outlook shift.
Polymarket odds price 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 83.75% after TV segment
A Morgan Stanley Wealth Management chief economic strategist discussed Fed expectations and long-term U.S. bonds during a financial TV segment.
Polymarket prices 96% Fed hold in July as inflation fears shift odds
A market-focused report said silver fell as energy-driven inflation fears kept the Fed’s rate outlook elevated.
Polymarket odds hold: 66.5% for September Fed no-change
Ahead of key U.S. employment data, Treasury yields ticked higher, with the 10-year at 4.573% and the 2-year at 4.158% as markets weighed fresh disinflation signals.
Polymarket: Messi odds jump to 41% in 2026 Ballon d’Or market
A new video segment said an analyst expects Apple to keep growing in Q2 despite price hikes, citing pulled-forward China demand and potential regulatory approval for Apple AI and Alibaba’s model.
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M trades
A market note said gold fell as Iran-related tensions eased inflation-risk fears, boosting the dollar and reviving talk the Fed could stay hawkish.
Polymarket prices 2026 Fed at 82% no cuts as yuan note fails to shift odds
A new research note titled “Chinese Yuan: Upside bias against US Dollar” pitches near-term CNY strength versus USD, framed as an FX tilt rather than a Fed forecast.
Polymarket: September Fed hold odds slip to 64% after Warsh hearings
After two days of House and Senate questioning, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh drew few major missteps as lawmakers pressed that prices are still rising too fast and he ordered reviews of inflation gauges.
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65K
Bitcoin rose above $65,000 this week, with the move credited to easing inflation and momentum around the “Clarity Act.” Polymarket traders care because the July 2026 Fed ladder now clusters on “No
Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimony
On Tuesday, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faced the Senate Banking Committee after testifying to the House a day earlier, reiterating his inflation focus but offering few policy clues.
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflation
Bitcoin climbed above $64,000 after a report said inflation eased, with Zcash and Pump.fun among rally leaders.
Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatter
After a softer US CPI print, the US Dollar Index slipped as investors reassessed how restrictive Fed policy may need to be at upcoming meetings.
Polymarket prices 2026 Fed hike at 51.5% after 15-point drop
June US inflation data showed CPI slowing to 3.5% year on year from 4.2% in May, sending the dollar lower and cooling near-term Fed hike expectations.
Polymarket odds: July Fed hold at 93.5% after CPI cools hike fears
A macro note titled “US CPI report quietens Fed rate hike expectations” said the latest CPI eased pressure on the Fed to tighten ahead of the July 2026 meeting.
