PREDICTION MARKETS
Polymarket Wallets Net $2.4M With 98% Accuracy, Bubblemaps Reports
A cluster of wallets on Polymarket reportedly earned $2.4M betting on military events with near-perfect timing, raising insider trading concerns.
CFTC Eases Reporting Rules for Prediction Markets Amid Jurisdiction Battle
The CFTC grants regulatory relief to prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, offering clarity on event contract reporting amid federal-state disputes.
Polymarket (POLY) Volume Drops 8.9% Amid Rising Competition
Polymarket's April trading volume fell 8.9% to $10.2B as rivals like Kalshi gain ground, raising questions about the platform's U.S. expansion and regulatory hurdles.
MoonPay Buys Dawn Labs, Launches AI Tool for Prediction Markets
MoonPay acquires Dawn Labs and introduces Dawn CLI, an AI tool aimed at simplifying prediction market trading on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.
Kalshi, Hyperliquid Defy Dutch Ban as Polymarket Exit Raises Stakes
Kalshi and Hyperliquid continue serving Dutch users despite Polymarket's February ban, highlighting regulatory gaps in Europe's crackdown on crypto prediction markets.
Prediction Markets See Institutional Entry with First Block Trade
Bernstein highlights a key milestone in prediction markets as Kalshi's first institutional block trade signals a shift toward institutional adoption.
SEC Delays Review of Prediction Market ETFs From Roundhill, Bitwise
The SEC has postponed the review of prediction market ETFs from Roundhill, Bitwise, and GraniteShares, citing concerns over structure and disclosures.
CFTC Receives 1,500 Comments on Prediction Market Regulation
The CFTC's proposed rule on prediction markets sparks debate, with 1,500 responses highlighting tensions between federal oversight and state regulation.
A16z Supports CFTC in Legal Clash Over Prediction Markets
A16z backs the CFTC, arguing federal law overrides state bans on prediction markets like Kalshi, citing liquidity and price discovery benefits.
CFTC Sues Wisconsin Over Prediction Market Regulation Clash
The CFTC has sued Wisconsin, marking its fifth state-level legal battle to assert jurisdiction over prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.
Prediction Markets Driven by 3.5% of Users, Study Finds
New research reveals that an 'informed minority' drives price accuracy in prediction markets, raising questions about fairness and insider trading risks.
CFTC Sues New York Over Prediction Markets Gambling Laws Clash
CFTC challenges New York's bid to apply gambling laws to prediction markets, escalating federal vs. state regulatory tensions.
Polymarket Traders Score $37K in Paris Weather Data Glitch
Two Polymarket accounts profited $37K from a suspected weather station glitch in Paris, raising questions about prediction market integrity.
New York, Illinois Ban Officials From Prediction Markets
New York and Illinois ban state employees from prediction market betting to curb insider trading amid surging market volumes.
Kalshi Bans US Candidates Over Insider Election Bets
Kalshi fined and banned 3 US political figures for betting on their own elections, signaling stricter enforcement in prediction markets.