PREDICTION MARKETS
Kalshi Backs Lobby Group to Defend Prediction Markets
Kalshi launches Americans for Fair Markets to counter casino interests and influence federal policy on prediction markets.
CFTC and NHL Partner to Regulate Prediction Markets
The CFTC signs a memorandum with the NHL to oversee prediction markets, reinforcing its claim of exclusive jurisdiction amid regulatory conflicts.
Kalshi and Polymarket Data Go Live on Dune for Macro Signals
Kalshi and Polymarket data now unified on Dune, offering traders clean macro and equity signals with four years of historical data.
SEC Delays Prediction Market ETFs, Seeks Public Input
The SEC delays prediction market ETFs from Bitwise and others, citing regulatory concerns and opening a public comment period.
CFTC Sues Minnesota Over Prediction Markets Ban
The CFTC has filed a lawsuit against Minnesota, citing exclusive federal jurisdiction over prediction markets. The ban could set a precedent.
Polymarket Wallets Net $2.4M With 98% Accuracy, Bubblemaps Reports
A cluster of wallets on Polymarket reportedly earned $2.4M betting on military events with near-perfect timing, raising insider trading concerns.
CFTC Eases Reporting Rules for Prediction Markets Amid Jurisdiction Battle
The CFTC grants regulatory relief to prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, offering clarity on event contract reporting amid federal-state disputes.
Polymarket (POLY) Volume Drops 8.9% Amid Rising Competition
Polymarket's April trading volume fell 8.9% to $10.2B as rivals like Kalshi gain ground, raising questions about the platform's U.S. expansion and regulatory hurdles.
MoonPay Buys Dawn Labs, Launches AI Tool for Prediction Markets
MoonPay acquires Dawn Labs and introduces Dawn CLI, an AI tool aimed at simplifying prediction market trading on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.
Kalshi, Hyperliquid Defy Dutch Ban as Polymarket Exit Raises Stakes
Kalshi and Hyperliquid continue serving Dutch users despite Polymarket's February ban, highlighting regulatory gaps in Europe's crackdown on crypto prediction markets.
Prediction Markets See Institutional Entry with First Block Trade
Bernstein highlights a key milestone in prediction markets as Kalshi's first institutional block trade signals a shift toward institutional adoption.
SEC Delays Review of Prediction Market ETFs From Roundhill, Bitwise
The SEC has postponed the review of prediction market ETFs from Roundhill, Bitwise, and GraniteShares, citing concerns over structure and disclosures.
CFTC Receives 1,500 Comments on Prediction Market Regulation
The CFTC's proposed rule on prediction markets sparks debate, with 1,500 responses highlighting tensions between federal oversight and state regulation.
A16z Supports CFTC in Legal Clash Over Prediction Markets
A16z backs the CFTC, arguing federal law overrides state bans on prediction markets like Kalshi, citing liquidity and price discovery benefits.
CFTC Sues Wisconsin Over Prediction Market Regulation Clash
The CFTC has sued Wisconsin, marking its fifth state-level legal battle to assert jurisdiction over prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.