ZEN INVESTING

 


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Polymarket odds of US invasion of Iran rise to 20.5% after strike reports
Iran’s top negotiator said an interim peace understanding was voided after U.S.
Polymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation report
Late Tuesday night, a report said Iran struck Kuwait, Bahrain, and Jordan and claimed it destroyed the US Fifth Fleet’s command centre after talks collapsed.
Polymarket: Iran Hormuz fee odds dip to 72% for Dec 31 after ship attacks
A top US commander in the Middle East said Iran attacked seven commercial ships in the past week, heightening maritime-risk worries.
Polymarket: Iran invasion Yes jumps to 19.5% after Kish strike report
A headline about a fire on Iran’s Kish after U.S. strikes spread on July 14, 2026, and traders treated it as an escalation catalyst.
Polymarket invasion odds for Iran jump to 19.5% after reported U.S. strikes
A report said the U.S. launched strikes on Iran after Trump announced a renewed blockade tied to Strait of Hormuz shipping, prompting Iranian attacks on U.S. allies and vessels.
Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normal by 2026 drop to 56.5%
Iran’s parliament has begun drafting legislation billed as “management of the Strait of Hormuz,” spotlighting possible changes in how the waterway is handled.
Polymarket odds of US invading Iran before 2027 jump to 19% on report
After a third night of U.S. strikes, a report says President Donald Trump threatened to hit Iran’s fortified “Pickaxe Mountain” nuclear site and demanded 20% of Strait of Hormuz cargo value.
Polymarket odds rise to 70.5% for Iran Hormuz fees by Dec 31
Over a third straight night, the US reportedly struck Iran as Tehran claimed retaliation around the Strait of Hormuz, with blasts along the southern coast and attacks on vessels.
Polymarket odds hit 99.95% for Iran Gulf action by July 9 after Trump remarks
In an Oval Office media conference, President Donald Trump said the US should be paid by wealthy Gulf oil producers to secure the Strait of Hormuz from Iran and warned of another “major attack” on
Polymarket: Iran regime fall odds dip to 9.5% as Israel sets Oct. 27 vote
Israel’s parliament set national elections for October 27, with Benjamin Netanyahu confirming he’ll run as criticism over security failures and the Gaza war hangs over the campaign.

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