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Polymarket odds dip to 67% on Iran Hormuz fees by Dec 31 after strike reports
Iranian state media reported nearly a dozen “enemy projectiles” hit Qeshm Island, with new explosions in Bandar Abbas, calling it a fifth wave of US strikes since a ceasefire three weeks ago.
Polymarket: Hormuz normalization by July 15 at 0.35% Yes on $9.8M
After a new exchange of fire, the U.S. and Iran each claimed control of the Strait of Hormuz, even as an initial deal to reopen it and extend a shaky ceasefire emerged.
Polymarket odds for Iran Gulf action fall to 66.5% after Hormuz claim
Iran’s IRGC said the Strait of Hormuz was closed in response to US interference, as Israel’s attacks in Gaza and Lebanon continued with reported civilian casualties.
Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by Jul 15 at 0.35% Yes
A new report details rising Iran–US tensions and dueling claims about Strait of Hormuz shipping, even as mediator channels stay active and Iran’s hardliners talk retaliation.
Polymarket odds of US invading Iran rise to 16.5% after strike footage report
The U.S. military reportedly released footage described as showing new strikes on Iran, renewing escalation fears.
Polymarket odds jump to 83.5% for July 12 in Iran Gulf action ladder
After a vessel was hit in the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. Central Command said roughly 140 targets in Iran were struck, followed by retaliatory attacks affecting Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman and Jordan.
Polymarket cuts Hormuz normalization odds to 63.5% after Iran closure claim
A report says US forces launched a third round of strikes on Iran this week after the IRGC declared the Strait of Hormuz closed. Polymarket traders care because the “traffic returns to normal by Dec.
Polymarket odds jump to 57.5% for Iran action on July 12 after Hormuz report
After a civilian vessel was hit in the Strait of Hormuz, a report said the U.S. began a third round of strikes on Iran as Tehran again declared the strait closed.

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