Polymarket
Polymarket odds: Le Pen leads French 2027 race at 32% as consensus weakens
On Monday, Jeffries dismissed Trump’s talk of Chinese election interference as baseless, adding to a broader election-integrity news cycle.
Polymarket prices Sept Fed hold at 60.5% as hike odds stay elevated
A research note on the Singapore dollar says upside risk versus the US dollar is building as rate differentials and the US macro outlook shift.
Polymarket: No seen 99% on Hormuz normalization by July 31 amid IRGC warning
A July 16 video report says Iran’s IRGC warned it could target the Bab al-Mandeb Strait after Hormuz, potentially with Houthi help to disrupt shipping.
Polymarket odds: Vance leads 2028 field at 19.85% as Iran strikes continue
A report said the United States struck Iran for a sixth straight day, keeping geopolitical risk in focus even for long-dated politics.
Polymarket odds put Anthropic at 96.8% in best AI model race despite wobble
New York Gov. Kathy Hochul said her team used AI to review every state rule in a couple of months and is considering a up-to-one-year pause on new hyperscale data centers.
Polymarket yes odds jump to 22.5% on U.S.–Iran invasion bet after report
A report says Israel is preparing for the possibility of a U.S.–Iran escalation next week, prompting fresh contingency chatter.
Polymarket: Maduro rises to 80% in Venezuela leader 2026 market
A new report says a Trump-backed Arizona candidate is struggling in a House primary amid sex-scandal allegations.
Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP nod despite Trump claim
MSNBC founder Tom Rogers argued in a new commentary that Donald Trump is laying groundwork to invoke emergency powers to overturn the 2026 midterms.
Polymarket prices Le Pen at 31.75% in 2027 France race as field stays split
A feed headline says Donald Trump is expected to speak about “free and fair elections,” spotlighting election-integrity themes.
Polymarket odds dip: Spain–Argentina O/U 0.5 Yes at 89.5%
Meta is adding proactive alerts to parents when teens with supervised Instagram accounts discuss self-harm or suicide with Meta AI.