Prediction Markets

Trump crypto sale report as Polymarket 2028 stays Vance-led at 19.75%
Prediction Markets

Trump crypto sale report as Polymarket 2028 stays Vance-led at 19.75%

A June 30 report says Donald Trump disclosed more than $500 million in proceeds from a crypto sale.

Warsh speaks after hawkish debut as Polymarket no-cuts bet slips to 78%
Prediction Markets

Warsh speaks after hawkish debut as Polymarket no-cuts bet slips to 78%

On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will appear at an ECB forum panel in Portugal, his first public remarks since his policy-meeting debut.

DeFi hack losses spotlight risk as Polymarket prices 78.5% BTC dip to $58K
Prediction Markets

DeFi hack losses spotlight risk as Polymarket prices 78.5% BTC dip to $58K

Through June 30, a hacks tracker logged 88 Q2 DeFi hack entries with $780.3 million in known losses, including $644.8 million in April, highlighting bridge and protocol-logic risks.

Colorado primaries spotlight risk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 93.5%
Prediction Markets

Colorado primaries spotlight risk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 93.5%

On 2026-06-30, a live broadcast tracked Colorado primary results in real time, framing the races as an early test of political momentum.

Global crypto rules near July shift Polymarket to 79.5% Fed hold in 2026
Prediction Markets

Global crypto rules near July shift Polymarket to 79.5% Fed hold in 2026

Late June and early July bring new crypto rule deadlines in the EU, UK, Australia and California, with Europe’s MiCA transition ending July 1 and firms facing authorization pressure.

Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead Israel
Prediction Markets

Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead Israel

Gadi Eizenkot launched Yesh!’s election campaign with a speech warning Israel is at a crossroads and criticizing years of divisive rhetoric ahead of what he called the country’s most consequential

Supreme Court spurns Trump Carroll appeal as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%
Prediction Markets

Supreme Court spurns Trump Carroll appeal as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%

On Monday, the Supreme Court declined to hear Donald Trump’s appeal in the E. Jean Carroll case, leaving the lower-court ruling intact.

DOJ probes Gallego as Polymarket keeps Vance atop 2028 odds at 19.55%
Prediction Markets

DOJ probes Gallego as Polymarket keeps Vance atop 2028 odds at 19.55%

The Justice Department is investigating Gallego for potential campaign finance violations, raising fresh uncertainty around a prominent Democrat as the 2028 field takes shape.

Poland-Ukraine UPA row lifts Polymarket Putin-exit odds to 13.5%
Prediction Markets

Poland-Ukraine UPA row lifts Polymarket Putin-exit odds to 13.5%

Poland and Ukraine’s WWII-era UPA dispute flared after Zelensky named a unit “Heroes of UPA” and Poland’s Karol Nawrocki revoked an award he’d received, as Warsaw debates leverage over Kyiv.